fivethirtyeight
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[new article] 538's Ultimate Hour-by-Hour, District-by-District Election Guide
Il y a environ 3 heures
via twitterfeed
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YouGov just released results: Angle +2 in , Giannoulias +3 in , Johnson +6 in , Murray +3 in .
Il y a environ 13 heures
via web
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Most overrated GOP Prez hopeful is probably Tim Pawlenty; 43% approval rating. But @ shows a tight race.
Il y a environ 14 heures
via web
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[new article] Saturday Night Forecast Update: Calm Before the Storm
Il y a environ 14 heures
via twitterfeed
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House and gov. numbers also going up soon. The GOP's House projection held at "just" 53 seats.
Il y a environ 14 heures
via web
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Lots of polling today, but it was pretty boring, frankly. We have G.O.P. senate chances up a tick to 11% from 10%.
Il y a environ 14 heures
via web
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More likely to come back: House Democrats or Michigan State?
Il y a environ 17 heures
via web
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For those asking: We're going to have an awesome chart out soon that tells you exactly which House races to watch in each time zone.
Il y a environ 20 heures
via web
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The one place where I could see D's overperforming a bit is in 2-5 R-held districts like FL-25. Not getting much attention from pollsters.
Il y a environ 21 heures
via web
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Can't say I see much in the way of good news for Democrats in the House polls out over the past 24-48 hours.
Il y a environ 21 heures
via web
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Most, uh, "interesting", internal poll? Hayhurst (D) puts himself 4 points ahead in IN-3. SurveyUSA had him down 25.
Il y a environ 21 heures
via web
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We actually have Alaska as the most likely GOP->Dem senate pickup right now (7% chance).
11:05 PM Oct 29th
via web
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[new article] Sharp Changes in Maine, Oregon Governor Forecasts
10:49 PM Oct 29th
via twitterfeed
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@: I think Dodd would have lost to McMahon by double digits.
10:43 PM Oct 29th
via web
en réponse à moosewill
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[new article] Senate Update: California May Be Out of Reach for G.O.P.
8:32 PM Oct 29th
via twitterfeed
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FWIW, those Dittman polls in Alaska were conducted independently. They've done polling for both Murkowski and Miller in the past.
8:29 PM Oct 29th
via web
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Not sure that Cutler can catch LePage. He's gotta have a better chance than Mitchell though despite what our model says.
8:04 PM Oct 29th
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Maine's gubernatorial race is incredibly weird -- dynamics are just like a primary.
8:03 PM Oct 29th
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We have GOP senate takeover odds down to 10%. Lots of good polls for GOP, but in "wrong" states.
7:26 PM Oct 29th
via web
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[new article] G.O.P. House Projection Steady at Plus-53 Seats
5:55 PM Oct 29th
via twitterfeed
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