Claudia Godbout

Principal Economist

Claudia is a Principal Economist in the Canadian Economic Analysis (CEA) Department’s Projection Division. Her work focuses on the forecast of the Canadian economy. Claudia also worked in the emerging market division of the International Department between 2008 and 2013. Her main areas of interest include macroeconomic, forecasting and international topics.

Claudia holds a master’s degree in economics from Laval University.

Contact

Claudia Godbout

Principal Economist
Canadian Economic Analysis
Projection

Bank of Canada
234 Laurier Avenue West
Ottawa, ON, K1A 0G9

Latest

17 May 2012 On the Adjustment of the Global Economy

Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2012 Carlos De Resende, Claudia Godbout, René Lalonde, Eric Morin, Nikita Perevalov
This article discusses three scenarios for the adjustment of the global economy. In a “baseline” scenario—which encompasses fiscal consolidation in major advanced economies, growth-friendly structural reforms in Europe and Japan, and greater exchange rate flexibility and reforms in the emerging-market economies of Asia to induce rotation of demand away from net exports—global current account imbalances […]
Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review Article Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Exchange rates, Fiscal Policy, International topics, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, F37, F4, F42

Short-Term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models

Staff Working Paper 2012-7 Claudia Godbout, Marco J. Lombardi
While the usefulness of factor models has been acknowledged over recent years, little attention has been devoted to the forecasting power of these models for the Japanese economy. In this paper, we aim at assessing the relative performance of factor models over different samples, including the recent financial crisis.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C5, C50, C53, E, E3, E37, E4, E47

Le pouvoir de prévision des indices PMI

Staff Discussion Paper 2010-3 Claudia Godbout, Jocelyn Jacob
The forecast of world economic growth plays a key role in the conduct of Canadian monetary policy. In this context, the authors study the usefulness of the monthly Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs) in predicting short-term real GDP growth in the euro area, Japan, the United Kingdom, and China, as well as in the world economy.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E3, E37, F, F4, F47

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Education

Master’s degree in economics from Laval University.

Research Interests

  • Macroeconomic
  • forecasting
  • international macroeconomics

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