C23 - Models with Panel Data; Longitudinal Data; Spatial Time Series

• Markov‐Switching Three‐Pass Regression Filter

  Staff Working Paper 2017-13 Pierre Guérin, Danilo Leiva-Leon, Massimiliano Marcellino

  We introduce a new approach for the estimation of high-dimensional factor models with regime-switching factor loadings by extending the linear three-pass regression filter to settings where parameters can vary according to Markov processes.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C23, C5, C53

• Monetary Policy, Private Debt and Financial Stability Risks

  Staff Working Paper 2016-59 Gregory Bauer, Eleonora Granziera

  Can monetary policy be used to promote financial stability? We answer this question by estimating the impact of a monetary policy shock on private-sector leverage and the likelihood of a financial crisis. Impulse responses obtained from a panel VAR model of 18 advanced countries suggest that the debt-to-GDP ratio rises in the short run following an unexpected tightening in monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial stability, Monetary Policy, Transmission of monetary policy JEL Code(s): C, C2, C21, C23, E, E5, E52, E58

• What Is Behind the Weakness in Global Investment?

  Staff Discussion Paper 2016-5 Maxime Leboeuf, Robert Fay

  The recovery in private business investment globally remains extremely weak more than seven years after the financial crisis. This paper contributes to the ongoing policy debate on the factors behind this weakness by analyzing the role of growth prospects and uncertainty in explaining developments in non-residential private business investment in large advanced economies since the crisis.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Domestic demand and components, Economic models, International topics, Recent economic and financial developments, Uncertainty and monetary policy JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, C3, C33, D, D2, D24, D8, D80, D84, E, E2, E22, F, F0, F01, G, G3, G31

• Debt Overhang and Deleveraging in the US Household Sector: Gauging the Impact on Consumption

  Staff Working Paper 2015-47 Bruno Albuquerque, Georgi Krustev

  Using a novel dataset for the US states, this paper examines whether household debt and the protracted debt deleveraging help explain the dismal performance of US consumption since 2007, in the aftermath of the housing bubble.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C1, C13, C2, C23, C5, C52, D, D1, D12, H, H3, H31

• Heterogeneity in the Dynamic Effects of Uncertainty on Investment

  Staff Working Paper 2015-34 Sungje Byun, Soojin Jo

  How does aggregate profit uncertainty influence investment activity at the firm level? We propose a parsimonious adaptation of a factor-autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model to exploit information in a subindustry sales panel for an efficient and tractable estimation of aggregate volatility.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C23, D, D8, D80, E, E2, E22

• Multiple Fixed Effects in Binary Response Panel Data Models

  Staff Working Paper 2014-17 Karyne B. Charbonneau

  This paper considers the adaptability of estimation methods for binary response panel data models to multiple fixed effects. It is motivated by the gravity equation used in international trade, where important papers such as Helpman, Melitz and Rubinstein (2008) use binary response models with fixed effects for both importing and exporting countries.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, C25, F, F1, F14

• What Affects MFP in the Long-Run? Evidence from Canadian Industries

  Staff Working Paper 2008-4 Danny Leung, Yi Zheng

  In this paper we explore variables that may have an impact on multifactor productivity (MFP) in the long-run using the KLEMS database for Canada. We estimate a dynamic heterogeneous panel error-correction model of twelve 2-digit level industries.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Productivity JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, D, D2, D24, O, O3, O30

• An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Exchange Reserves in Emerging Asia

  Staff Working Paper 2005-38 Marc-André Gosselin, Nicolas Parent

  Over the past few years, the ability of the United States to finance its current account deficit has been facilitated by massive purchases of U.S.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G15

• Convergence of Government Bond Yields in the Euro Zone: The Role of Policy Harmonization

  Staff Working Paper 2004-23 Denise Côté, Christopher Graham

  Since the early 1980s, long-term government bond yields in the euro zone have declined, in line with those in other industrialized countries.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Interest rates, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, E, E4, E43, E44, F, F3, F36

• National Saving–Investment Dynamics and International Capital Mobility

  Staff Working Paper 2004-14 Florian Pelgrin, Sebastian Schich

  The authors analyze the dynamics of national saving–investment relationships to determine the degree of international capital mobility.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, F, F3, F31