E65 - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes

• 17 November 2016 Structural Reforms and Economic Growth in Emerging-Market Economies

  Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2016 Jeannine Bailliu, Christopher Hajzler

  Growth has slowed in many emerging-market economies (EMEs) since the 2007–09 global financial crisis, reflecting both cyclical and structural factors. In this context, it will be in-creasingly important for EMEs to raise potential growth by maintaining steady progress on structural reforms. How do structural reforms generally support growth? What are the re-form priorities for EMEs over recent history and today? Finally, what will be the impact of planned structural reforms on potential output growth among the world’s larger EMEs? These are some of the questions considered by the authors.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review Article Topic(s): Development economics, International topics, Potential output JEL Code(s): E, E0, E02, E6, E61, E65, O, O1, O11, O4, O41

• Assessment of the Effects of Macroprudential Tightening in Canada

  Staff Analytical Note 2016-12 Martin Kuncl

  During the period of 2008 to 2012, the rules for government-backed mortgage insurance were tightened on four occasions. In this note, we estimate the effects through a simple econometric exercise using a vector error-correction model (VECM).

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E6, E65, G, G2, G28

• 16 May 2016 A New Era of Central Banking: Unconventional Monetary Policies

  Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2016 Eric Santor, Lena Suchanek

  Central banks can implement unconventional monetary policy measures to provide additional easing when policy interest rates come close to their lower limit. To date, the international experience with tools such as quantitative easing and negative interest rates has been largely positive. Central banks may also use several such measures simultaneously, with often mutually reinforcing effects. Yet, unconventional tools are also subject to potential limits, and the costs associated with these measures could rise with extensive and prolonged use.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review Article Topic(s): Interest rates, International topics, Monetary policy framework, Transmission of monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E61, E65

• Quantitative Easing as a Policy Tool Under the Effective Lower Bound

  Staff Discussion Paper 2015-14 Abeer Reza, Eric Santor, Lena Suchanek

  This paper summarizes the international evidence on the performance of quantitative easing (QE) as a monetary policy tool when conventional policy rates are constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB). A large body of evidence suggests that expanding the central bank’s balance sheet through large-scale asset purchases can provide effective stimulus under the ELB.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Central bank research, International topics, Monetary policy framework, Transmission of monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E61, E65, N, N1, N10

• The International Experience with Negative Policy Rates

  Staff Discussion Paper 2015-13 Harriet Jackson

  A key issue in the renewal of the inflation-control agreement is the question of the appropriate level of the inflation target. Many observers have raised concerns that with the reduction in the neutral rate, and the experience of the recent financial crisis, the effective lower bound (ELB) is more likely to be binding in the future if inflation targets remain at 2 per cent.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E65

• Analyzing Fiscal Sustainability

  Staff Working Paper 2013-27 Huixin Bi, Eric M. Leeper

  The authors study the implications of fiscal policy behaviour for sovereign risk in a framework that determines a country’s fiscal limit, the point at which, for economic or political reasons, taxes and spending can no longer adjust to stabilize debt.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Economic models, Fiscal Policy JEL Code(s): E, E6, E62, E65, H, H6, H63

• 16 May 2013 Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evolving Practices, Their Effects and Potential Costs

  Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2013 Eric Santor, Lena Suchanek

  Following the recent financial crisis, major central banks have introduced several types of unconventional monetary policy measures, including liquidity and credit facilities, asset purchases and forward guidance. To date, these measures appear to have been successful. They restored market functioning, facilitated the transmission of monetary policy and supported economic activity. They have potential costs, however, including challenges related to the greatly expanded balance sheets of central banks and the eventual exit from these measures, as well as the vulnerabilities that can arise from prolonged monetary accommodation.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review Article Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E65

• House Price Dynamics: Fundamentals and Expectations

  Staff Working Paper 2012-12 Eleonora Granziera, Sharon Kozicki

  We investigate whether expectations that are not fully rational have the potential to explain the evolution of house prices and the price-to-rent ratio in the United States.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Asset Pricing, Domestic demand and components, Economic models JEL Code(s): E, E3, E6, E65, R, R2, R21

• Driving Forces of the Canadian Economy: An Accounting Exercise

  Staff Working Paper 2008-14 Simona Cociuba, Alexander Ueberfeldt

  This paper analyses the Canadian economy for the post 1960 period. It uses an accounting procedure developed in Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (2006). The procedure identifies accounting factors that help align the predictions of the neoclassical growth model with macroeconomic variables observed in the data.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Labour markets, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E6, E65, O, O4, O41, O5, O51

• The 1975–78 Anti-Inflation Program in Retrospect

  Staff Working Paper 2005-43 John Sargent

  The author provides an overview of the 1975–78 Anti-Inflation Program (AIP), in a background document prepared for a seminar organized by the Bank of Canada to mark the AIP's 30th anniversary.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Credibility, Fiscal Policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52, E6, E63, E64, E65