Business fluctuations and cycles
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Firm-Specific Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations
In order to understand what drives aggregate fluctuations, many macroeconomic models point to aggregate shocks and discount the contribution of firm-specific shocks. Recent research from other developed countries, however, has found that aggregate fluctuations are in part driven by idiosyncratic shocks to large firms. -
November 8, 2016 Wood, Wheat, Wheels and the Web: Historical Pivots and Future Prospects for Canadian Exports
Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the historical evolution and future prospects for Canadian exports. -
Business Cycles in Small, Open Economies: Evidence from Panel Data Between 1900 and 2013
Using a novel data set for 17 countries dating from 1900 to 2013, we characterize business cycles in both small developed and developing countries in a model with financial frictions and a common shock structure. We estimate the model jointly for these 17 countries using Bayesian methods.