2019 Manitoba general election
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57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Manitoba's 57 electoral districts | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 42nd general election of Manitoba, scheduled for September 10, 2019 will be held to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.[1] The Progressive Conservative government, led by Premier Brian Pallister, will attempt to win re-election. The NDP elected Wab Kinew as their new leader on September 16, 2017. Kinew was elected to the Legislative Assembly in 2016. The Liberals elected Dougald Lamont as their new leader on October 21, 2017. Lamont was elected to the Legislative Assembly in 2018.
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Date[edit]
Under the Manitoba Elections Act, the general election is to be held on the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year, following the previous election.[2] As the last election was held in 2016, that date would be October 6, 2020. However, the act also provides that if, as of January 1 of the election year, the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the third Tuesday of the following April.[3]
New boundaries[edit]
In accordance with the law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years and this process is scheduled to complete at the end of 2018 with the 2020 elections being fought on new boundaries.[4][5]
Timeline[edit]
2016[edit]
- May 7: Greg Selinger resigns as leader and Flor Marcelino becomes interim Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
- September 24: Rana Bokhari resigns as Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
- October 21: Judy Klassen becomes interim Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
2017[edit]
- January 9: Kevin Chief resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas, causing a by-election.
- January 31: NDP MLA Mohinder Saran suspended from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
- June 13: Bernadette Smith elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas holding the seat for the NDP with a reduced majority.
- June 13: Judy Klassen resigns as interim leader to run for Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party. Paul Brault becomes acting Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
- June 30: Progressive Conservative MLA Steven Fletcher expelled from the caucus after breaking with the party on multiple issues.
- September 16: Wab Kinew elected Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
- October 21: Dougald Lamont elected Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
2018[edit]
- March 7: Greg Selinger resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, causing a by-election.
- March 21: NDP MLA for Wolseley, Rob Altemeyer, announces that he will not seek re-election.[6]
- July 17: Liberal leader Dougald Lamont elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, gaining the seat from the NDP and winning official party status for the Liberals.
- September 11: Steven Fletcher joins and becomes Leader of the Manitoba Party.
- October 22: Progressive Conservative MLA Cliff Graydon expelled from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
- December 14: Final Report of the Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission released.[7]
- December 14: NDP MLA for Fort Garry-Riverview, James Allum, announces that he will not seek re-election.[8]
Legislature summary[edit]
Party | Leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Current. | 2019 | +/- | Votes | % | % change | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Brian Pallister | 40 | 38 | |||||||
New Democratic | Wab Kinew | 14 | 12 | |||||||
Liberal | Dougald Lamont | 3 | 4 | |||||||
Manitoba Party | David Sutherland | – | 1 | – | – | |||||
Green | James Beddome | – | – | – | – | |||||
Communist | Darrell Rankin | – | – | – | – | |||||
Independents | – | 2 | – | – | ||||||
Vacant | 0 | – | ||||||||
Total | 57 | 57 |
Incumbents not running for reelection[edit]
Riding | Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee | New MLA | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Assiniboia | Steven Fletcher[9] (elected as PC) | ||||
Fort Garry—Riverview (redistributed to Fort Garry) | James Allum[10] | Mark Wasyliw[11] | |||
Logan (redistributed to Notre Dame and Union Station) | Flor Marcelino[12] | ||||
Wolseley | Rob Altemeyer[13] | Lisa Naylor[14] | |||
Minto (redistributed to Notre Dame) | Andrew Swan [15] | Malaya Marcelino |
Candidates by riding[edit]
- Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.
Northern Manitoba[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Flin Flon | Theresa Wride | Tom Lindsey | James Lindsay | Saara Murnick | Tom Lindsey | |||||||
Keewatinook | Arnold Flett | Judy Klassen | ||||||||||
Swan River | Rick Wowchuk | Shelley Wiggins | Rick Wowchuk | |||||||||
The Pas-Kameesak | Ron Evans | Amanda Lathlin | Ralph McLean | Amanda Lathlin The Pas | ||||||||
Thompson | Kelly Bindle | Danielle Adams | Kelly Bindle |
Westman/Parkland[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Agassiz | Eileen Clarke | Liz Clayton | Eileen Clarke | |||||||||
Turtle Mountain | Doyle Piwniuk | Doyle Piwniuk Arthur-Virden | ||||||||||
Brandon East | Len Isleifson | Lonnie Patterson | Kim Longstreet | Len Isleifson | ||||||||
Brandon West | Reg Helwer | Nick Brown | Reg Helwer | |||||||||
Dauphin | Brad Michaleski | Brad Michaleski | ||||||||||
Riding Mountain | Greg Nesbitt | Wayne Chacun | Greg Nesbitt | |||||||||
Spruce Woods | Cliff Cullen | Cliff Cullen |
Central Manitoba[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Borderland | Josh Guenter | Liz Cronk | Loren Braul | Cliff Graydon[16] | Cliff Graydon Emerson | |||||||
Interlake-Gimli | Derek Johnson | Sarah Pinsent | Jeff Wharton‡ Gimli | |||||||||
Merged District | ||||||||||||
Derek Johnson Interlake | ||||||||||||
Lakeside | Ralph Eichler | Dan Rugg | Ralph Eichler | |||||||||
Midland | Blaine Pedersen | Dylan Price | Blaine Pedersen | |||||||||
Morden-Winkler | Cameron Friesen | Mike Urichuk | Cameron Friesen | |||||||||
Springfield-Ritchot | Ron Schuler | Sam Okoi | Shannon Martin Morris | |||||||||
Portage la Prairie | Ian Wishart | Ian Wishart |
Eastman[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Dawson Trail | Bob Lagassé | Robert Rivard | Bob Lagassé | |||||||||
Lac du Bonnet | Wayne Ewasko | Terry Hayward | Wayne Ewasko | |||||||||
La Verendrye | Dennis Smook | Lorena Mitchell | Dennis Smook | |||||||||
Steinbach | Kelvin Goertzen | Rob Jessup | Kelvin Goertzen | |||||||||
Red River North | Jeff Wharton | Chris Pullen | Ron Schuler St. Paul | |||||||||
Selkirk | Alan Lagimodiere | Mitch Obach | Alan Lagimodiere |
Northwest Winnipeg[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Burrows | Jasmine Brar | Diljeetpal Brar | Sarbjit Singh Gill | Cindy Lamoureux‡ | ||||||||
Kildonan-River East | Cathy Cox | Elliot Macdonald | Kathryn Braun | Nic Curry Kildonan | ||||||||
Merged District | ||||||||||||
Cathy Cox River East | ||||||||||||
McPhillips | Shannon Martin | Greg McFarlane | John Cacayuran | Jason Smith | Dave Wheeler | New Riding | ||||||
Point Douglas | Bernadette Smith | Jenn Kess | Bernadette Smith | |||||||||
St. Johns | Nahanni Fontaine | Eddie Calisto-Tavares | Nahanni Fontaine | |||||||||
The Maples | Aman Sandhu | Mintu Sandhu | Amandeep Brar | Mohinder Saran | ||||||||
Tyndall Park | Daljit Kainth | Ted Marcelino | Cindy Lamoureux | Ted Marcelino |
Northeast Winnipeg[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Concordia | Andrew Frank | Matt Wiebe |
Kari Van Styvendale | Matt Wiebe | ||||||||
Elmwood | Jim Maloway |
Nicolas Geddert | Jim Maloway | |||||||||
Radisson | James Teitsma | Rajwinder Sandhu | James Teitsma | |||||||||
Rossmere | Andrew Micklefield | Andy Regier | Amanda Bazan | Andrew Micklefield | ||||||||
St. Boniface | Laurissa Sims | Dougald Lamont | Dougald Lamont | |||||||||
Transcona | Blair Yakimoski | Nello Altomare | Blair Yakimoski |
West Winnipeg[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Assiniboia | Scott Johnston | Joe McKellep | Steven Fletcher | |||||||||
Roblin | Myrna Driedger | Ken St. George | Kevin Nichols | Myrna Driedger Charleswood | ||||||||
Kirkfield Park | Scott Fielding | Kurt Morton | Scott Fielding | |||||||||
St. James | Michelle Richard | Adrien Sala | Jeff Buhse | Scott Johnston‡ | ||||||||
Tuxedo | Heather Stefanson | Heather Stefanson |
Central Winnipeg[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Fort Garry | Nancy Cooke | Mark Wasyliw | Craig Larkins | James Allum Fort Garry-Riverview | ||||||||
Fort Rouge | Edna Nabess | Wab Kinew | Cyndy Friesen | James Beddome | Wab Kinew | |||||||
Notre Dame | Malaya Marcelino | Donovan Martin | Andrew Swan Minto | |||||||||
River Heights | Susan Boulter | Jonathan Niemczak | Jon Gerrard | Nathan Zahn | Jon Gerrard | |||||||
Union Station | Uzoma Asagwara | Harold Davis | Andrea Shalay | Flor Marcelino Logan | ||||||||
Wolseley | Lisa Naylor | Shandi Strong | David Nickarz | Rob Altemeyer |
South Winnipeg[edit]
Electoral District | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | ||||||||
Fort Richmond | Sarah Guillemard | George Wong | Tanjit Nagra | Sarah Guillemard | ||||||||
Fort Whyte | Bea Bruske | Sara Campbell | Brian Pallister | |||||||||
Lagimodière | Andrew Smith | Billie Cross | Jake Sacher | New Riding | ||||||||
Riel | Rochelle Squires | Mike Moyes | Neil Johnston | Rochelle Squires | ||||||||
Seine River | Janice Morley-Lecomte | Durdana Islam | James Bloomfield | Bryanne Lamoureux | Janice Morley-Lecomte | |||||||
Southdale | Audrey Gordan | Karen Myshkowsky | Andrew Smith‡ | |||||||||
St. Vital | Colleen Mayer | Jamie Moses | Jeffrey Anderson | Colleen Mayer | ||||||||
Waverley | Jon Reyes | Dashi Zargani | Fiona Haftani | Umar Hayat | Jon Reyes St. Norbert |
Opinion polls[edit]
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probe Research Inc | June 17, 2019 | URL | 42 | 26 | 16 | 14 | 3 |
Probe Research Inc | March 24, 2019 | 42 | 30 | 18 | 7 | ||
Mainstreet Research | March 24, 2019 | URL | 44.8 | 32.1 | 13.1 | 6.7 | 3.3 |
Mainstreet Research | January 16, 2019 | URL | 44.6 | 28.0 | 16.8 | 4.6 | 6.0 |
Probe Research Inc | December 6, 2018 | 44 | 27 | 21 | 5 | 3 | |
Mainstreet Research | November 5, 2018 | URL | 42.3 | 28.7 | 18.1 | 6.0 | 4.9 |
Probe Research Inc | September 28, 2018 | 44 | 25 | 20 | 8 | ||
Mainstreet Research | July 17, 2018 | URL | 44.9 | 29.3 | 13.6 | 8.7 | 3.4 |
Probe Research Inc | June 19, 2018 | 42 | 30 | 16 | 11 | ||
Mainstreet Research | April 18, 2018 | URL | 45.6 | 30.2 | 13.0 | 7.8 | |
Probe Research Inc | April 13, 2018 | 44 | 28 | 19 | 8 | ||
Mainstreet Research | January 6, 2018 | URL | 39.6 | 36.7 | 13.3 | 10.4 | |
Probe Research Inc | December 14, 2017 | 40 | 26 | 25 | 8 | ||
Probe Research Inc | October 10, 2017 | URL | 36 | 30 | 24 | 8 | |
Probe Research Inc | June 18, 2017 | URL | 42 | 30 | 20 | 7 | |
Mainstreet Research | April 7, 2017 | URL | 47 | 23 | 19 | 11 | |
Probe Research Inc | March 28, 2017 | URL | 43 | 27 | 20 | 8 | |
Probe Research Inc | December 12, 2016 | 49 | 24 | 19 | 8 | ||
Probe Research Inc | September 26, 2016 | 48 | 20 | 26 | 5 | ||
Probe Research Inc | June 16, 2016 | 46 | 27 | 18 | 8 | ||
2016 election | April 19, 2016 | 53.0 | 25.7 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
References[edit]
- ^ Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
- ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(2).
- ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
- ^ "2018 Manitoba Electoral Divisions". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
- ^ "Proposed 2018 Electoral Division Names, Populations and Variations". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
- ^ https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/rob-altemeyer-quitting-1.4587149
- ^ "Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission - Final Report 2018". Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
- ^ "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
- ^ "Manitoba MLA Steven Fletcher to run for People's Party of Canada". CBC News. May 22, 2019. Retrieved June 11, 2019.
- ^ "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Canadian Press via The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
- ^ "Winnipeg school trustee upset with province over funding to seek NDP nomination". The Canadian Press via CBC Manitoba. March 19, 2019. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
- ^ Froese, Ian (June 3, 2019). "Former interim NDP leader Flor Marcelino won't run for re-election". CBC Manitoba. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
- ^ "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC Manitoba. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
- ^ "News in Brief - Naylor wins Wolseley NDP nomination". Winnipeg Free Press. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
- ^ "Longtime former Manitoba NDP cabinet minister will not seek re-election". CBC Manitoba. May 17, 2019. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
- ^ Lambert, Steve (July 22, 2019). "Ousted Manitoba politician to run as Independent, denies groping allegation". CBC Manitoba/The Canadian Press. Retrieved July 23, 2019.