43rd Ontario general election
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124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 63 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 43rd Ontario general election will be held on or before June 2, 2022. As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election.[1] The Legislative Assembly of Ontario can be dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario due to a motion of no confidence or if the Premier triggers a snap election. Since the current government has a majority, a confidence vote is unlikely.
Standings[edit]
| Party | Party leader | Seats | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Current | |||
| Progressive Conservative | Doug Ford | 76 | 73 | |
| New Democratic | Andrea Horwath | 40 | 40 | |
| Liberal | John Fraser (interim) | 7 | 7 | |
| Green | Mike Schreiner | 1 | 1 | |
| Independent | N/A | 0 | 3 | |
| Total | 124 | 124 | ||
Note that for purposes of the administration of the Assembly, parties with fewer than 12 seats are not recognized, and their members are treated as independent MPPs.[2]
Timeline[edit]
2018[edit]
- June 7: The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario under Doug Ford wins a majority government in the 42nd Ontario general election, with Andrea Horwath's New Democrats forming the Official Opposition. After leading the party to its worst result in the party's history, outgoing Premier Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party but remained MPP for Don Valley West.[3]
- June 14: Ottawa South MPP John Fraser is named interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.[4]
- June 29: Doug Ford is sworn in as Premier of Ontario.[5]
- July 11: Wellington—Halton Hills MPP Ted Arnott is elected Speaker by secret ballot.[6]
- November 2: Former interim Progressive Conservative leader Jim Wilson resigns as Minister of Economic Development and Trade and from the Progressive Conservative caucus due to allegations of sexual misconduct.[7]
- November 29: Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Progressive Conservative MPP Amanda Simard leaves the Progressive Conservative caucus after Premier Ford eliminated the province's French language services commissioner and cancelled plans for a new French-language university.[8]
2019[edit]
- February 21: Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston Progressive Conservative MPP Randy Hillier is suspended from the caucus indefinitely for allegedly making disrespectful comments to parents of children with autism.[9] Hillier was officially expelled from the PC caucus on March 15, a day after he released a statement via Twitter suggesting his suspension was due to tensions between himself and the premier's senior advisors.[10]
- May 13: Orléans Liberal MPP Marie-France Lalonde announced that she will be running for the Liberal Party of Canada's nomination in Orléans for the 2019 federal election.[11]
- May 16: Ottawa—Vanier Liberal MPP Nathalie Des Rosiers announces she will be stepping down from her seat to become Principal of Massey College at the University of Toronto, succeeding Hugh Segal who retires on June 30, 2019.[12][13]
Opinion polls[edit]
| Polling organisation | Last date of polling | Source | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Polling type | Sample size | Margin of error | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbett Communications | July 10, 2019 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 15 | 3 | Online | 936 | ±3.0% | 0 | |
| Corbett Communications | June 6, 2019 | 32 | 27 | 26 | 13 | 1 | Online | 1,555 | ±3.0% | 5 | |
| Mainstreet Research | May 22, 2019 | HTML | 22.4 | 24.2 | 39.9 | 11.7 | 1.8 | IVR | 996 | ±3.1% | 15.7 |
| Ipsos | May 21, 2019 | HTML | 30 | 29 | 32 | 10[a] | Online | 1,000 | ±3.5% | 2 | |
| Corbett Communications | May 3, 2019 | 35 | 25 | 27 | 12 | 1 | Online | 1,836 | ±2.4% | 8 | |
| Pollara | May 1, 2019 | 30 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 1 | Online | 1,527 | ±2.5% | 1 | |
| Mainstreet Research | March 22, 2019 | HTML | 34.4 | 26.6 | 26.0 | 9.4 | 3.6 | IVR | 1,290 | ±2.73% | 7.8 |
| Innovative Research Group | January 24, 2019 | 33 | 23 | 36 | 7 | 1 | Online | 751 | 3 | ||
| Mainstreet Research | January 17, 2019 | HTML | 41.4 | 27.0 | 22.6 | 7.0 | 2.2 | IVR | 1,127 | ±2.92% | 14.4 |
| EKOS | December 3, 2018 | 34.3 | 26.1 | 28.0 | 9.4 | 2.3 | IVR | 1,025 | ±3.1% | 6.3 | |
| Campaign Research | November 9, 2018 | HTML | 34 | 25 | 32 | 7 | 2 | Online | 1,830 | ±2.3% | 2 |
| Mainstreet Research | November 7, 2018 | HTML | 42.2 | 26.5 | 21.3 | 6.4 | 3.5 | IVR | 1,229 | ±2.79% | 15.7 |
| Innovative Research Group | October 28, 2018 | 35 | 25 | 32 | 7 | 1 | Online | 1,628 | 3 | ||
| Abacus Data | October 1, 2018 | HTML | 36 | 29 | 24 | 8 | 3 | Online | 1,500 | 7 | |
| Mainstreet Research | July 17, 2018 | HTML | 41.7 | 27.8 | 21.3 | 6.7 | 2.5 | IVR | 1,861 | ±2.27% | 13.9 |
| Innovative Research Group | June 21, 2018 | 37 | 36 | 19 | 7 | 2 | Telephone | 607 | ±4.0% | 1 | |
| 29 June 2018 | Doug Ford is sworn in as Premier of Ontario | ||||||||||
| 14 June 2018 | John Fraser becomes interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party | ||||||||||
| 7 June 2018 | Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party | ||||||||||
| 2018 election | June 7, 2018 | 40.50 | 33.56 | 19.59 | 4.60 | 1.75 | 6.94 | ||||
Notes
- ^ Includes the Ontario Green Party.
References[edit]
- ^ Ferguson, Rob (October 19, 2016). "Ontario moves election date to June 7, 2018". Toronto Star. Retrieved October 31, 2016.
- ^ https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/ontario-government-to-raise-threshold-for-official-party-status-1.4175699
- ^ Janus, Andrea (June 7, 2018). "Kathleen Wynne ready to 'pass the torch,' quits as Ontario Liberal leader". CBC News. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
- ^ "Ottawa-area MPP John Fraser selected interim Ontario Liberal leader". CBC News. June 14, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
- ^ Crawley, Mike (June 29, 2018). "Doug Ford's 'truly humbled' as new Ontario PC government sworn in at Queen's Park". CBC News. Retrieved June 29, 2018.
- ^ "Ted Arnott new Speaker of the Ontario Legislative Assembly". Toronto Star. July 11, 2018. Retrieved July 11, 2018.
- ^ Goodfield, Kayla (November 7, 2018). "Ford confirms PC MPP Jim Wilson resigned over sexual misconduct allegation". CP24. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
- ^ "MPP Amanda Simard leaving PCs, will sit as an independent". CBC News. November 29, 2018. Retrieved November 29, 2018.
- ^ "MPP Randy Hillier suspended from Ontario PC caucus after autism debate". CBC News. February 21, 2019. Retrieved February 21, 2019.
- ^ "Randy Hillier expelled from Ontario PC caucus". CBC News. March 15, 2019. Retrieved March 15, 2019.
- ^ "Ottawa MPP Marie-France Lalonde seeks federal seat after Leslie retires". National Post. May 13, 2019. Retrieved May 13, 2019.
- ^ "Ottawa MPP Nathalie Des Rosiers leaving seat for position at U of T". CBC News. May 16, 2019. Retrieved May 20, 2019.
- ^ Westoll, Nick; Dhanraj, Travis (May 16, 2019). "Nathalie Des Rosiers, Ottawa-area Liberal MPP, set to resign seat at Queen's Park". Global News. Retrieved May 26, 2019.
External links[edit]
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