42nd British Columbia general election
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87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia 44 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 42nd British Columbia general election will be held on or before October 16, 2021, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly in the Canadian province of British Columbia.
Elections BC administered a postal referendum from October to December 2018 on whether the current first-past-the-post (FPTP) voting system should be maintained or if the province should switch to a proportional representation (PR) system. The referendum ended with a majority voting to maintain the existing FPTP system.[1]
Contents
Timing[edit]
Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[2] The fixed election date was previously set for the second Tuesday in May, but the BC NDP passed legislation amending the section of the constitution pertaining to the set election day.[3] The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the Lieutenant Governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit (in practice, on the advice of the Premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[2][4]
2018 electoral reform referendum[edit]
A referendum on electoral reform took place by postal ballot between October 22 and December 7, 2018, in British Columbia. In the referendum, electors were asked:[5]
- to choose whether to maintain the current first-past-the-post voting system or to switch to a proportional system;
- to rank three PR systems by preference, should the province switch to PR:
The referendum ended with a majority voting in favour of maintaining the existing first-past-the-post system.[1]
Opinion polls[edit]
The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.
Fieldwork date | Polling organisation / client | Sample size | Liberal | NDP | Green | Conservative | Others[a] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 6–12, 2019 | Insights West[6] | 848 | 30% | 35% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 5% |
May 20–22, 2019 | Research Co.[7] | 800 | 30% | 39% | 21% | 9% | 1% | 9% |
Mar 20–21, 2019 | Mainstreet[8] | 923 | 32.4% | 39.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 6.6% |
Feb 26 – Mar 13, 2019 | Justason[9] | 812 | 31% | 30% | 16% | 19% | 3% | 1% |
Jan 13–14, 2019 | Mainstreet[10] | 887 | 34.9% | 37.0% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
Nov 2–6, 2018 | Insights West[11] | 814 | 32.9% | 38.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% |
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2018 | Mainstreet[12] | 616 | 33.9% | 32.3% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 3% | 1.6% |
Jul 15–17, 2018 | Mainstreet[13] | 933 | 33.9% | 33.2% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
Jul 12–15, 2018 | Insights West[14] | 1,053 | 32% | 37% | 17% | 12% | 2% | 5% |
May 4–7, 2018 | Angus Reid[15] | 809 | 36% | 41% | 17% | n/a | 6% | 5% |
Apr 16–18, 2018 | Mainstreet[16] | 900 | 36.8% | 34.8% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% |
Apr 12–15 2018 | Mainstreet[17] | 1,496 | 37% | 31% | 17% | 13% | 2% | 6% |
Mar 5–6, 2018 | Mainstreet[18] | 1,511 | 30.7% | 36.0% | 21.9% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 5.3% |
Feb 3, 2018 | Andrew Wilkinson elected leader of the BC Liberals and becomes the leader of the Opposition. | |||||||
Jan 15–17, 2018 | Insights West[19] | 829 | 31% | 40% | 19% | 8% | 2% | 9% |
Jan 3–4, 2018 | Mainstreet[20] | 817 | 33.9% | 38.5% | 27.6% | n/a | n/a | 4.6% |
Aug 14–15, 2017 | Mainstreet[21] | 2,050 | 38% | 37% | 16% | n/a | 9% | 1% |
Aug 4, 2017 | Christy Clark resigns as leader of the BC Liberals and Rich Coleman chosen as interim leader | |||||||
Jul 18, 2017 | John Horgan becomes premier of British Columbia | |||||||
Jun 29, 2017 | Christy Clark resigns as premier; John Horgan invited to form government | |||||||
Jun 29, 2017 | BC Liberal government defeated in confidence vote | |||||||
Jun 26–28, 2018 | Ipsos[22] | 800 | 44% | 38% | 14% | n/a | 4% | 6% |
Jun 23–28, 2017 | Insights West[23] | 821 | 36% | 41% | 19% | n/a | 4% | 5% |
Jun 26–27 2017 | Mainstreet[24] | 1,650 | 45% | 34% | 17% | n/a | 4% | 11% |
Jun 15–19, 2017 | Angus Reid[25] | 810 | 39% | 38% | 20% | n/a | 3% | 1% |
Jun 8–11, 2017 | Ipsos[26] | 802 | 40% | 42% | 15% | n/a | 2% | 2% |
May 11–13, 2017 | Mainstreet[27] | 1,650 | 38% | 39% | 22% | n/a | n/a | 1% |
May 9, 2017 | General election results[28] | n/a | 40.4% | 40.3% | 16.8% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
Notes[edit]
- ^ Can include the British Columbia Conservative Party depending on the poll.
References[edit]
- ^ a b "B.C. votes to keep first-past-the-post electoral system". CBC News. December 20, 2018. Retrieved December 21, 2018.
- ^ a b Constitution Act, s. 23.
- ^ Rob Shaw (October 4, 2017). "NDP changes B.C.'s fixed election date from May to October - Vancouver Sun". Vancouversun.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ Zussman, Richard (May 26, 2017). "Christy Clark gets 1st chance to govern, but how long can it last?". CBC News.
- ^ "B.C. unveils its proposed question for voters in electoral-reform referendum". Retrieved June 25, 2018.
- ^ Insightswest.com (PDF). July 11, 2019 https://insightswest.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Rep_IW_2019BCGovtReportCard_10July2019.pdf. Retrieved July 12, 2019. Missing or empty
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(help) - ^ https://researchco.ca/2019/05/29/with-the-furies-breathing-down-your-neck/. Retrieved May 29, 2019. Missing or empty
|title=
(help) - ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on March 25, 2019. Retrieved March 25, 2019.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "For B.C. voters it's still a tie » Justason Market Intelligence". Justasonmi.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on January 22, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2019.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "Survey on BC Referendum on Electoral Reform" (PDF). Insightswest.com. November 9, 2018. Retrieved November 12, 2018.
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on November 9, 2018. Retrieved November 9, 2018.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on July 30, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2018.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "Premier Horgan's Approval Rating Dips While Housing Affordability Continues to Weigh on British Columbians". Insights West. July 25, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "One year later: British Columbians mixed on NDP's performance, but support its affordability policies" (PDF). Angusreid.org. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "BC Liberals Take Lead From NDP; Horgan Government Hurt By Kinder Morgan Opposition". Mainstreetresearch.ca. April 26, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "Federal and provincial governments get failing grades on protecting BC wild salmon". Mainstreetresearch.ca. April 25, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on March 22, 2018. Retrieved March 21, 2018.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "Anxiety Over Housing, Homelessness and Poverty Rises in British Columbia". Insights West. January 19, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on January 23, 2018. Retrieved January 22, 2018.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
- ^ August 25, Scott Brown Updated:; 2017 (August 25, 2017). "Poll suggests Mike de Jong is Liberals best choice for leader - Vancouver Sun". Vancouversun.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "BC Liberals Go Out on Top". Ipsos.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "Throne Speech Does Little to Sway British Columbians". Insights West. June 29, 2017. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on July 31, 2017. Retrieved June 29, 2017.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "Snap Election? Snap out of it, say majority of British Columbians as legislative session looms" (PDF). Angusreid.org. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "BC Is Still Too Close to Call". Ipsos.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on July 11, 2017. Retrieved June 29, 2017.CS1 maint: Archived copy as title (link)
- ^ "Results of the 2017 General Election". Elections BC. Retrieved July 31, 2017.
External links[edit]
- Elections BC
- Legislative Assembly Library Election Weblinks