Kun Mo

Senior Economist

Kun Mo is a senior economist of the Emerging Markets Division in the International Economics Analysis Department. In this role he performs current analysis and makes short-term forecasts for economic developments in China and other major emerging market economies. He also participates in researches related to developments in emerging market economies. He obtained his Masters in Economics from the University of Toronto.

Contact

Senior Economist
International Economic Analysis
Emerging Markets Division

Bank of Canada
234 Wellington Street
Ottawa, ON, K1A 0G9

Latest

Outlook for Electric Vehicles and Implications for the Oil Market

Staff Analytical Note 2019-19 Étienne Latulippe, Kun Mo
The market for electric vehicles (EVs) is growing rapidly. Subsidies and technological improvements are expected to increase the market share of EVs over the coming decade. In its base-case scenario, the International Energy Agency (IEA) expects EV use to rise from 4 million vehicles in 2018 to 120 million by 2030, or from 0.3 per cent to over 7 per cent of the global car fleet.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): Q, Q4, Q47

Financial Distress and Hedging: Evidence from Canadian Oil Firms

Staff Discussion Paper 2019-4 Kun Mo, Farrukh Suvankulov, Sophie Griffiths
The paper explores the link between financial distress and the commodity price hedging behaviour of Canadian oil firms.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Firm dynamics JEL Code(s): G, G3, G32, Q, Q4, Q40

Global Commodity Markets and Rebalancing in China: The Case of Copper

Staff Discussion Paper 2019-3 Jeannine Bailliu, Doga Bilgin, Kun Mo, Kurt Niquidet, Benjamin Sawatzky
Given that China accounts for about half of global copper consumption, it is reasonable to expect that any significant change in Chinese copper consumption will have an impact on the global market.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): O, O1, O13, O14, Q, Q0, Q02

The Size and Destination of China’s Portfolio Outflows

Staff Discussion Paper 2018-11 Rose Cunningham, Eden Hatzvi, Kun Mo
The size of China’s financial system raises the possibility that the liberalization of its capital account could have a large effect on the global financial system. This paper provides a counterfactual scenario analysis that estimates what the size and direction of China’s overseas portfolio investments would have been in 2015 if China had had no restrictions on these outflows.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Econometric and statistical methods, International topics JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, F, F2, F21, F3, F32, G, G1, G15

Assessing Global Potential Output Growth: April 2018

Staff Analytical Note 2018-9 Richard Beard, Anne-Katherine Cormier, Michael Francis, Katerina Gribbin, Justin-Damien Guénette, Christopher Hajzler, James Ketcheson, Kun Mo, Louis Poirier, Peter Selcuk, Kristina Hess
This note presents our estimates of potential output growth for the global economy through 2020. Overall, we expect global potential output growth to remain broadly stable over the projection horizon, averaging 3.3 per cent, although there is considerable uncertainty surrounding these estimates.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): International topics, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E1, E10, E2, E20, O, O4

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Education

  • English B.A. (Economics) – Queen’s University
  • M.A. (Economics) – University of Toronto

Research Interests

  • English International
  • Economics Macroeconomics

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