Financial stability

• January 30, 2020

  How vulnerabilities like debt can affect interest rates

  Paul Beaudry Laval University Québec, Québec

  Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry explains to students at Laval University why financial vulnerabilities—such as household debt—are important for the Bank of Canada when it sets interest rates.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Central bank research, Credit risk management, Financial stability, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary Policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
• January 30, 2020

  Monetary Policy and Financial Vulnerabilities

  Remarks Paul Beaudry Université Laval Québec, Québec

  Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry discusses how financial vulnerabilities present a challenge for monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Central bank research, Credit risk management, Financial stability, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary Policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation

• Managing GDP Tail Risk

  Staff Working Paper 2020-3 Thibaut Duprey, Alexander Ueberfeldt

  Models for macroeconomic forecasts do not usually take into account the risk of a crisis—that is, a sudden large decline in gross domestic product (GDP). However, policy-makers worry about such GDP tail risk because of its large social and economic costs.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Economic models, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Interest rates, Monetary Policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): D, D8, E, E4, E44, E5, E52, E58, G, G0, G01

• Creations and Redemptions in Fixed-Income Exchange-Traded Funds: A Shift from Bonds to Cash

  Staff Analytical Note 2019-34 Rohan Arora, Sébastien Betermier, Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc, Adriano Palumbo, Ryan Shotlander

  The creation and redemption activity of fixed-income exchange-traded funds listed in the United States has shifted. Funds of established issuers have traditionally exchanged their shares for baskets of bonds. In contrast, young funds managed by new issuers tend to create and redeem their shares almost exclusively in cash. Cash transactions imply that new funds are taking on exposure to liquidity risk. This has implications for financial stability.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): Financial markets, Financial stability JEL Code(s): G, G1, G2, G20, G23

• The Cyber Incident Landscape

  Staff Analytical Note 2019-32 Nikil Chande, Dennis Yanchus

  The Canadian financial system is vulnerable to cyber threats. But for many firms, cyber risk is difficult to quantify. We examine public information on past cyber incidents to better understand the current risk landscape and find that a holistic view is needed to fully grasp the nature of this risk.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): Financial markets, Financial stability JEL Code(s): G, G2, G28, M, M1, M15, O, O3, O33, O38

• Changing Fortunes: Long-Termism—G-Zero, Artificial Intelligence and Debt

  Staff Discussion Paper 2019-12 Stephen S. Poloz

  This paper discusses three long-term forces that are acting on the global economy and their implications for companies and policy-makers.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Financial stability, International topics, Monetary Policy, Trade Integration, Uncertainty and monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E6, E63, F, F0, F02, F1, F15, F5, F53, F6, H, O, O1, O11, O3, O33

• Assessment of Liquidity Creation in the Canadian Banking System

  Staff Analytical Note 2019-30 Annika Gnann, Sahika Kaya

  Liquidity creation is a fundamental function of banks. It provides the public with easy access to funds. These funds are important because they allow households and businesses to consume and invest. In this note, we measure liquidity creation by Canadian financial institutions from the first quarter of 2012 to the second quarter of 2019, using a methodology suggested by Berger and Bouwman (2009) and known as the BB measure.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): Financial Institutions, Financial stability, Monetary and financial indicators JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G28, G3, G32

• Interconnected Banks and Systemically Important Exposures

  Staff Working Paper 2019-44 Alan Roncoroni, Stefano Battiston, Marco D’Errico, Grzegorz Halaj, Christoffer Kok

  How do banks' interconnections in the euro area contribute to the vulnerability of the banking system? We study both the direct interconnections (banks lend to each other) and the indirect interconnections (banks are exposed to similar sectors of the economy). These complex linkages make the banking system more vulnerable to contagion risks.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C6, C63, G, G1, G15, G2, G21
• November 19, 2019

  Financial Stability in an Uncertain World (Full Remarks)

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins International Finance Club of Montréal Montréal, Quebec

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins provides an update on the Canadian financial system and discusses measures in place that increase its resilience in a challenging global environment.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Climate change, Financial Institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing, Trade Integration
• November 19, 2019

  Financial Stability in an Uncertain World

  Carolyn A. Wilkins The International Finance Club of Montreal Montréal, Quebec

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins talks about the recent strengthening of Canada’s financial system.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Climate change, Financial Institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Trade Integration