Potential output

• An Eclectic Approach to Estimating U.S. Potential GDP

  Staff Working Paper 2002-36 Marc-André Gosselin, René Lalonde

  The authors describe the principal results obtained from a new method applied to the estimation of potential U.S. GDP.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Potential output JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E2, E23, E3, E32

• Filtering for Current Analysis

  Staff Working Paper 2002-28 Simon van Norden

  This paper shows how existing band-pass filtering techniques and their extension can be applied to the common current-analysis problem of estimating current trends or cycles.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Potential output JEL Code(s): C, C1

• La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2002-10 Jean-Philippe Cayen, Simon van Norden

  In this paper, we measure, with Canadian data, the scope of the revisions to real-time estimates of the output gap generated with several univariate and multivariate techniques. We also make an empirical evaluation of the usefulness of the output gap estimates for predicting inflation.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Potential output JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32