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2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine

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2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
Part of the Russo-Ukrainian War

Clockwise from top left photo:
  • People take shelter in the Kyiv Metro
  • Burning vehicles on the Kharkiv–Kyiv road
  • Destruction of residential areas in Kharkiv, Kyiv and Chernihiv
  • An armoured personnel carrier destroyed in Konotop
Map: Military situation as of 4 March 2022
   Ukraine
   Ukrainian territories occupied by Russia and pro-Russian separatists
See also: Detailed map of the Russo-Ukrainian War
Date24 February 2022 (2022-02-24) – present (1 week and 2 days)
Location
Status

Ongoing (list of engagements · control of cities · timeline of events)

Belligerents
 Ukraine
Commanders and leaders
Strength
  •  Russia:
    ~175,000–190,000[9][10]
  • Donetsk PR:
  • 20,000[11]
  • Luhansk PR:
  • 14,000[11]
  •  Ukraine:
  • 209,000 (armed forces)
  • 102,000 (paramilitary)
  • 900,000 (reserves)[11]
  • 16,000 foreign volunteers[12]
Order of battle for the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
Casualties and losses
  • Russia
  • Per Russia (2 March):
  • 498 soldiers killed, 1,597 wounded[13]
  • Per Western officials (3 March):
  • ~5,800 soldiers killed[14]
  • Per US officials (28 February):
  • 1,500–2,000 soldiers killed[15]
  • Per Ukraine (3 March):
  • 9,000 killed[16]
  • 200 captured[17]
Equipment losses:
  • Per Russia: Per Ukraine:
  • Ukraine
  • Per Ukraine (1st & 6th day):
  • 110+ soldiers killed[21][22]
  • Per US officials (28 February):
  • ~1,500 soldiers killed[15]
  • Per Russia (2 March):
  • 2,870 soldiers killed, 3,700 wounded, 572 captured[23]
Equipment losses:

On 24 February 2022, Russia launched a large-scale military invasion of Ukraine,[d] one of its neighbours to the southwest, marking a steep escalation to a conflict that began in 2014. Several officials and analysts called the invasion the largest conventional military attack in Europe since World War II.[45][46][47]

Following Ukraine's Revolution of Dignity in 2014, Russia had annexed Crimea, while Russian-backed separatist forces had seized part of the Donbas in eastern Ukraine, leading to an eight-year war in the region.[48][49] From early-2021, there was a Russian military buildup around the Russo-Ukrainian border. The US and others accused Russia of planning an invasion into Ukraine, but Russian officials repeatedly issued denials as late as 20 February 2022.[50][51] During the crisis, Russian president Vladimir Putin presented the post-1997 enlargement of NATO as a threat to his country's security, a claim which NATO rejected,[52] and demanded Ukraine be barred from ever joining NATO.[53] Putin expressed Russian irredentist views,[54] and questioned Ukraine's right to statehood.[55][56] Before the invasion, in an attempt to provide a casus belli, Putin accused Ukraine of committing genocide against Russian speakers in Ukraine; these accusations were widely described as baseless.[57][58]

On 21 February 2022, Russia officially recognised the Donetsk People's Republic and Luhansk People's Republics, two self-proclaimed states controlled by pro-Russian separatist forces in the Donbas.[59] The following day, Russia's Federation Council unanimously authorised Putin to use military force abroad, and Russian troops were openly sent into both territories.[60] On 24 February, at around 05:00 EET (UTC+2), Putin announced a "special military operation", which according to him was aimed at the "demilitarization" and "denazification" of Ukraine.[61] Minutes later, missiles began to hit locations across Ukraine, including the capital, Kyiv. The State Border Guard Service of Ukraine said that its border posts with Russia and Belarus were attacked.[62][63] Two hours later, Russian Ground Forces entered the country.[64] Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy responded by enacting martial law, severing diplomatic ties with Russia, and ordering general mobilisation across the country.[65][66]

The invasion received widespread international condemnation, including new sanctions imposed on Russia, triggering a financial crisis. Global protests took place against the invasion, while protests in Russia were met with mass arrests.[67][68] Both prior to and during the invasion, various states provided foreign aid to Ukraine, including arms and other materiel support.[69] In response, Putin placed Russia's nuclear forces on high alert.[70]

According to the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), more than one million Ukrainians fled the country during the first week of the invasion, causing a refugee crisis across Europe.[71]

Background

Post-Soviet context and Orange Revolution

After the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, Ukraine and Russia maintained close ties. In 1994, Ukraine agreed to abandon its nuclear arsenal by signing the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances, on the condition that Russia, the United Kingdom (UK), and the United States (US) would provide assurances against threats or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine. Five years later, Russia was one of the signatories of the Charter for European Security, which "reaffirmed the inherent right of each and every participating State to be free to choose or change its security arrangements, including treaties of alliance, as they evolve".[72] In the years after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, several former Eastern Bloc countries joined NATO, which Russian leaders claimed was a violation of Western powers' assurances that NATO would not expand eastward.[53]

The 2004 Ukrainian presidential election was controversial. In November, the-then prime minister Viktor Yanukovych was declared the winner, despite allegations of vote-rigging by election observers.[73] The results caused a public outcry in support of the opposition candidate Viktor Yushchenko, and widespread peaceful protests challenged the outcome in what became known as the Orange Revolution. During the tumultuous months of the revolution, Yushchenko was poisoned by TCDD dioxin.[74][75] He strongly suspected Russian involvement in his poisoning.[76] After the Supreme Court of Ukraine annulled the initial election result, a second round re-run was held, bringing Yushchenko and Yulia Tymoshenko to power, and leaving Yanukovych in opposition.[77] In June 2009, Yanukovych announced his intent to again run for president in the 2010 Ukrainian presidential election,[78] which he subsequently won.[79]

Euromaidan, Revolution of Dignity, and war in Donbas

Euromaidan protests in Kyiv, December 2013

The Euromaidan protests began in 2013 over the Ukrainian government's decision to suspend the signing of the European Union–Ukraine Association Agreement, instead choosing closer ties to Russia and the Eurasian Economic Union. Following weeks of protests, Yanukovych and the leaders of the Ukrainian parliamentary opposition signed a settlement agreement on 21 February 2014 that called for an early election. The following day, Yanukovych fled from Kyiv ahead of an impeachment vote that stripped him of his powers as president.[80][81][82] Leaders of Russian-speaking eastern Ukraine declared continuing loyalty to Yanukovych,[83] leading to pro-Russian unrest.[84]

The unrest was followed by the annexation of Crimea by Russia in March 2014 and the war in Donbas, which started in April 2014 with the creation of the Russia-backed quasi-states of the Donetsk and Luhansk people's republics.[85][86] Russian troops were involved in the conflict,[87] although Russia formally denied this.[88][89] The Minsk agreements were signed in September 2014 and February 2015 in a bid to stop the fighting, although ceasefires repeatedly failed.[90]

In July 2021, Putin published an essay titled On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians, in which he re-affirmed his view that Russians and Ukrainians were "one people".[91] American historian Timothy D. Snyder described Putin's ideas as imperialism.[92] British journalist Edward Lucas described it as historical revisionism.[93] Other observers have described the Russian leadership as having a distorted view of modern Ukraine and its history.[94][95][96] Ukraine and other European countries neighbouring Russia accused Putin of irredentism and of pursuing aggressive militaristic policies.[97][98][99]

Prelude

Russian military build-ups

US paratroopers of 2nd Battalion, 503rd Infantry Regiment depart Italy's Aviano Air Base for Latvia, 23 February 2022. Thousands of US troops were deployed to Eastern Europe amid Russia's military build-up.[100]

From March to April 2021, Russia commenced a major military build-up near the Russo-Ukrainian border. The second phase of military build-ups took place from October 2021 to February 2022. Russian equipment marked with a white Z symbol, which is not a Cyrillic letter, were spotted on the sides of the equipment during the build-up. Tanks, fighting vehicles, and other equipment bearing the symbol were seen as late as 22 February 2022. Observers believed that the marking was a deconfliction measure meant to prevent friendly fire incidents.[101]

Russian officials' denials of plans to invade

Despite military build-up,[102] Russian officials repeatedly denied that any plans to invade Ukraine.[50][51][103] On 12 November 2021, Putin's spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters that "Russia doesn't threaten anyone",[50][51] and on 12 December, that attempts were made to "demonise Russia and cast it as a potential aggressor".[50] As late as 20 February 2022, officials denied plans, marking them as hysteria.[50][51]

The United States released detailed intelligence of Russian invasion plans, including satellite photographs showing concentrations of Russian troops and equipment near the Ukrainian border, and reported of a Russian list of key sites and individuals to be killed or detained upon invasion.[104]

On 31 January, Colonel-General Leonid Ivashov, as chairman of the Russian Officers' Assembly, issued an appeal against Russia's war with Ukraine.[105] He accused Putin and the leadership of Russia of preparing such a war and called on them to resign.[106][107]

Russian accusations and demands

Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Olha Stefanishyna with NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg at a conference on 10 January 2022 regarding a potential Russian invasion

In the leadup to the invasion, Putin and Kremlin officials engaged in a protracted series of accusations against Ukraine as well as demands aimed at Ukraine, NATO, and non-NATO allies, which some commentators and Western officials described as an attempt to generate justification for war.[108][109] On 9 December 2021, Putin spoke of discrimination against Russian speakers outside Russia, saying: "I have to say that Russophobia is a first step towards genocide."[110][111] On 15 February 2022, Putin told the press: "What is going on in Donbas is exactly genocide."[109] The Russian government also condemned the language policy in Ukraine.[112][113][114]

On 18 February, Anatoly Antonov, the Russian ambassador to the US, accused the US of condoning the forced cultural assimilation of Russians in Ukraine.[115] In an address on 21 February, Putin said that Ukrainian society "was faced with the rise of far-right nationalism, which rapidly developed into aggressive Russophobia and neo-Nazism."[116][117][118] Putin stated that "Ukraine never had a tradition of genuine statehood" and was wrongly created by Soviet Russia.[55][119] Putin's claims were dismissed by the international community.[120] In particular, Russian claims of genocide have been widely rejected as baseless.[57][58] The European Commission has also rejected the allegations as "Russian disinformation".[121] The US embassy in Ukraine called the Russian genocide claim a "reprehensible falsehood".[122] Ned Price, a spokesperson for the US State Department, said that Moscow was making such claims as an excuse for invading Ukraine.[109]

Analysts said that Putin pushed a "false 'Nazi' narrative", taking advantage of World War II memories and collaboration in German-occupied Ukraine,[123] to justify Russia's attack on Ukraine.[118] While Ukraine has a far-right fringe, including the neo-Nazi Azov Battalion and Right Sector,[118][124] they say Putin greatly exaggerated the scale of the issue, and there is no widespread support for this ideology in the government, military, or electorate.[108][118][125] Addressing the Russian claims specifically, Ukrainian president Zelenskyy, who is Jewish, stated that his grandfather served in the Soviet Army fighting against the Nazis;[126] three of his family members died in the Holocaust.[127] The US Holocaust Memorial Museum condemned Putin's abuse of Holocaust history as a justification for war.[128][129] Some commentators described Putin's claims as reflecting his isolation and reliance on an inner circle who were unable to give him frank advice.[130]

Putin and his long-time confidant, Defense Minister Sergey Shoygu.[131]

During the second build-up, Russia issued demands to the US and NATO, including a legally binding promise that Ukraine would not join NATO, as well as a reduction in NATO troops and military hardware stationed in Eastern Europe.[132] In addition, Russia threatened an unspecified military response if NATO continued to follow an "aggressive line".[133] These demands were largely interpreted as being non-viable; new NATO members had joined as their populations broadly preferred to move towards the safety and economic opportunities offered by NATO and the European Union (EU), and away from Russia.[134] The demand for a formal treaty preventing Ukraine from joining NATO was also seen as unviable, although NATO showed no desire to accede to Ukraine's requests to join.[135]

Alleged clashes

Fighting in Donbas escalated significantly from 17 February 2022 onwards. While the daily number of attacks over the first six weeks of 2022 ranged between two and five, the Ukrainian military reported 60 attacks on 17 February alone. Russian state media reported over 20 artillery attacks on separatist positions on the same day.[136] The Ukrainian government accused Russian separatists of shelling a kindergarten at Stanytsia Luhanska with artillery, injuring three. The Luhansk People's Republic (LPR) claimed that its forces had been attacked by mortars, grenade launchers, and machine gun fire from Ukrainian forces.[137][138]

On 18 February, the Donetsk and Luhansk people's republics ordered mandatory emergency evacuations of civilians from their respective capital cities,[139][140][141] although observers noted that full evacuations would take months to accomplish.[142] Ukrainian media reported a sharp increase in artillery shelling by the Russian-led militants in Donbas as attempts to provoke the Ukrainian army.[143][144] On 21 February, Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) announced that Ukrainian shelling had destroyed an FSB border facility 150 metres from the Russia–Ukraine border in Rostov Oblast.[145] The Luhansk power station was also shelled by unknown forces.[146] Ukrainian news stated that it was forced to shut down as a result.[147]

On 21 February, the press service of the Southern Military District announced that Russian forces had in the morning that day killed a group of five saboteurs near the village of Mityakinskaya, Rostov Oblast, that had penetrated the border from Ukraine in two infantry fighting vehicles, the vehicles having been destroyed.[148] Ukraine denied being involved in both incidents and called them a false flag.[149][150] Additionally, two Ukrainian soldiers and a civilian were reported killed by shelling in the village of Zaitseve, 30 kilometres (19 mi; 16 nmi) north of Donetsk.[151] Several analysts, including the investigative website Bellingcat,[152] published evidence that many of the claimed attacks, explosions, and evacuations in Donbas were staged by Russia.[153][154][155]

Escalation (21–23 February)

Putin's address to the nation on 21 February

On 21 February at 22:35 (UTC+3),[156] Putin announced the recognition of the Donetsk and Luhansk people's republics.[157] The same evening Putin directed the deployment of Russian troops, including mechanised forces, into Donbas in what Russia referred to as a "peacekeeping mission".[158][159] Later in the night local time,[160] several independent media outlets confirmed that Russian forces were entering Donbas.[161][162][163] The 21 February intervention in Donbas was widely condemned by the UN Security Council and did not receive any support.[164] Kenya's ambassador Martin Kimani compared Putin's move to colonialism and said: "We must complete our recovery from the embers of dead empires in a way that does not plunge us back into new forms of domination and oppression."[165]

On 22 February, US president Joe Biden stated that "the beginning of a Russian invasion of Ukraine" had occurred. Jens Stoltenberg, the secretary general of NATO, and Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau said that "further invasion" had taken place. Kuleba stated: "There's no such thing as a minor, middle or major invasion. Invasion is an invasion." Josep Borrell, the High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, stated that "Russian troops [had arrived] on Ukrainian soil" in what was "[not] a fully-fledged invasion".[166][167] On the same day, the Federation Council unanimously authorised Putin to use military force outside Russia.[60] In turn, Zelenskyy ordered a conscription of Ukraine's reservists, while not committing to general mobilisation at that time.[168]

"Mixed Feelings on the Russian Side of the Ukraine Border Over Potential War", a video news report from Voice of America, 23 February 2022

On 23 February, the Verkhovna Rada proclaimed a 30-day nationwide state of emergency, excluding the occupied territories in Donbas, which took effect at midnight. The parliament also ordered the mobilisation of all reservists of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.[169][170][171] On the same day, Russia began to evacuate its embassy in Kyiv and also lowered the Russian flag from the top of the building.[172] The websites of the Ukrainian parliament and government, along with banking websites, were hit by DDoS attacks,[173] widely attributed to Russian-backed hackers.[174][175][176]

On the night of 23 February, Zelenskyy made a televised speech in which he addressed the citizens of Russia in Russian and pleaded with them to prevent war.[177][178][179] In the speech, Zelenskyy refuted claims of the Russian government about the presence of neo-Nazis in the Ukrainian government and stated that he had no intention of attacking the Donbas region.[180][181]

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that the leaders of the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics sent a letter to Putin appealing for military support from Russia "in repelling the aggression of the Ukrainian armed forces", with the letter claiming that Ukrainian government shelling had caused civilian deaths.[182] In response to the appeal, Ukraine requested an urgent UN Security Council meeting,[183] which subsequently convened at 21:30 (UTC−5).[184] UN Secretary-General António Guterres opened the meeting by pleading to Putin: "Give peace a chance."[185] Half an hour into the emergency meeting, Russia announced the invasion; this was half an hour before the Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the United Nations Sergiy Kyslytsya was to speak, who subsequently called on the Russian representative Vassily Nebenzia to "do everything possible to stop the war", which the Russian representative, chairing the meeting,[185][186] refused.[187]

Invasion

On 24 February, shortly before 06:00 Moscow Time (UTC+3), Putin announced that he had made the decision to launch a "special military operation" in eastern Ukraine.[188][189] In his address, Putin claimed there were no plans to occupy Ukrainian territory and that he supported the right of the peoples of Ukraine to self-determination.[190][191] He said the purpose of the "operation" was to "protect the people" in the predominantly Russian-speaking region of Donbas who, according to Putin, "for eight years now, have been facing humiliation and genocide perpetrated by the Kyiv regime."[192] Putin also stated that Russia sought the "demilitarisation and denazification" of Ukraine.[193] Within minutes of Putin's announcement, explosions were reported in Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odessa, and the Donbas.[194]

Immediately following the attack, Zelenskyy announced the introduction of martial law in Ukraine;[195] the same evening, he ordered a general mobilisation of all Ukrainian males between 18 and 60 years old.[66]

Russian troops entered Ukraine from four main directions: north from Belarus, heading towards Kyiv; northeast from Russia, heading towards Kharkiv; east from the Donetsk People's Republic and the Luhansk People's Republic; and south from the annexed region of Crimea.[196]

Northern front

On the first day, Russian troops began advancing towards Kyiv to encircle it. The Russians took control of the ghost towns of Chernobyl and Pripyat, including the nuclear power plant there,[197] but their advance was hindered by strong resistance from Ukrainian troops.[198]

One of the strategic locations that Russia sought to take control of was Hostomel's Antonov Airport. Fierce fighting took place between 24 and 25 February,[199] with Ukrainian troops trying to repel Russian airborne forces several times. The airport eventually fell into Russian hands.[200]

Eastern front

In the east, Russian troops tried to capture Kharkiv and Sumy, which are both located less than 35 kilometres (22 mi) from the Russian border.[201][202] In Kharkiv, Russian tanks were met with strong resistance. On 28 February, the city was targeted by various missile attacks, which claimed several lives.

Southern front

The advance of Russian troops from Crimea was more successful than on the other fronts. They began by pushing towards Kherson and taking control of the North Crimean Canal, which allowed them to regain water supplies for the peninsula, which it had been cut off from since 2014.[203] The attack also moved east towards Mariupol, beginning a siege of the city and linking the front with the Donbas separatist regions.[204][205] On 2 March, Kherson was completely conquered by Russian troops.[206]

Horlivka offensive

On 1 March, Ukrainian forces began a counteroffensive toward Horlivka, which has been controlled by the Donetsk People's Republic since late 2014.[207][208] On 3 March it has been reported by one pro-Ukrainian blogger that the city has been "cleared of occupational forces", suggesting it is now under Ukrainian control.[209]

Foreign military support to Ukraine

  Russia
  Ukraine
  Countries that have supplied Ukraine with military equipment during the 2022 invasion

Under the leadership of Viktor Yanukovych, the Ukrainian military had deteriorated. It was further weakened following Yanukovych's fall and his succession by West-looking leaders. Subsequently, a number of Ukraine's allies[who?] began providing military aid to rebuild its military forces. This assisted the Ukrainian military to improve its quality, with the Ukrainian army achieving noticeable successes against Russian proxy forces in Donbas.[citation needed] Notably, the Ukrainian armed forces began acquiring Turkey's Bayraktar TB2 unmanned combat aerial vehicles since 2019,[210] which was first used in October 2021 to target a Russian separatist artillery position in Donbas.[211]

As Russia began building up its equipment and troops on Ukraine's borders, NATO member states increased the rate of weapons delivery.[212] US president Joe Biden used Presidential Drawdown Authorities in August and December 2021 to provide $260 million in aid. These included deliveries of FGM-148 Javelins and other anti-armour weapons, small arms, various calibres of ammunition, and other equipment.[213][214][215]

Following the invasion, nations began making further commitments of arms deliveries. Belgium,[216] the Czech Republic,[217] Estonia,[218] France, Greece,[219] the Netherlands, Portugal,[220] and the UK announced that they would send supplies to support and defend the Ukrainian military and government.[221] On 24 February, Poland delivered some military supplies to Ukraine, including 100 mortars, various ammunition, and over 40,000 helmets.[222][223] While some of the 30 members of NATO agreed to send weapons, NATO as an organisation did not.[69]

In January 2022, Germany ruled out sending weapons to Ukraine and prevented Estonia, through export controls on German-made arms, from sending former East German D-30 howitzers to Ukraine.[224] Germany announced it was sending 5,000 helmets and a field hospital to Ukraine,[225] to which Kyiv mayor Vitali Klitschko derisively responded: "What will they send next? Pillows?"[226] On 26 February, in a reversal of its previous position, Germany approved the Netherlands' request to send 400 rocket-propelled grenades to Ukraine,[227] as well as 500 Stinger missiles and 1,000 anti-tank weapons from its own supplies.[228]

On 27 February, the EU agreed to purchase weapons for Ukraine collectively. EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell stated that it would purchase €450 million (US$502 million) in lethal assistance and an additional €50 million ($56 million) in non-lethal supplies. Borrell said that EU defence ministers still needed to determine the details of how to purchase the materiel and transfer it to Ukraine, but that Poland had agreed to act as a distribution hub.[229][230][231] Borrell also stated that they intended to supply Ukraine with fighter jets that they are already able to pilot. These would not be paid for through the €450 million assistance package. Poland, Bulgaria, and Slovakia had MiG-29s and Slovakia also had Su-25s, which were fighter jets that Ukraine already flew and could be transferred without pilot training.[232] On 1 March, Poland, Slovakia, and Bulgaria confirmed they would not provide fighter jets to Ukraine.[233]

On 26 February, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced that he had authorised $350 million in lethal military assistance, including "anti-armor and anti-aircraft systems, small arms and various caliber munitions, body armor, and related equipment".[234][235] Russia claimed that US drones gave intelligence to the Ukrainian navy to help target its warships in the Black Sea, which the US denied.[236] On 27 February, Portugal announced that it would send H&K G3 automatic rifles and other military equipment.[220] Sweden and Denmark both decided to send 5,000 and 2,700 anti-tank weapons, respectively, to Ukraine.[237][238] Denmark also provided parts from 300 non-operational Stinger missiles, that the US would first help make operational.[239]

The Norwegian government, after initially saying it would not send weapons to Ukraine but would send other military equipment like helmets and protective gear,[240][241][242] announced on 28 February that it would also donate up to 2,000 M72 LAW anti-tank weapons to Ukraine.[243][244][245] In a similarly major policy shift for a neutral country, Finland announced that it would send 2,500 assault rifles together with 150,000 rounds, 1,500 single-shot anti-tank weapons and 70,000 combat-ration packages, to add to the bulletproof vests, helmets, and medical supplies already announced.[246]

Humanitarian impact

  Russia
  Ukraine
  Countries sending any aid, including humanitarian aid to Ukraine

Casualties

Breakdown Fatalities Time period Source
Civilians 2,000+ killed 24 February – 2 March 2022 Ukrainian government[247]
136 killed 24 February – 1 March 2022 United Nations[248]
UAF, NGU, and volunteer forces 1,500 killed 24–28 February 2022 US officials[249]
Russian Armed Forces 498 killed 24 February – 2 March 2022 Russian government[250]
1,500–2,000 killed 24–28 February 2022 US officials[249]

Sergiy Kyslytsya, the Ukrainian Ambassador to the United Nations, announced on 27 February 2022 via Twitter that the country had reached out to the International Committee of the Red Cross for help in the repatriation effort of the bodies of killed Russian soldiers.[251] Due to concerns that Russia was not reporting the number or any casualties of soldiers in Ukraine, the Ukrainian Interior Ministry began issuing appeals that same day for relatives of Russian soldiers to help identify wounded, captured, or killed soldiers. The initiative, called Ishchi Svoikh (Russian: Ищи Своих, lit.'Look for Your Own'), was quickly blocked by the Russian government's media regulator the day the initiative began at the request of Russia's Prosecutor-General's Office.[252] On 2 March, Russia's Ministry of Defence confirmed that 498 Russian soldiers had been killed in combat, with another 1,597 being injured.[250]

On 1 March, a national member of the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine (SMM), Maryna Fenina, was killed in Russian's shelling of Kharkiv.[253]

Foreign deaths

Excluding the Russian troops, at least 18 people from 7 countries besides Ukraine died due to the war. The following is a list of the nationalities of the foreign victims:

Refugees

Due to the continued military build-up along the Ukrainian border, many neighbouring governments and aid organisations had been preparing for a potential mass displacement event in the weeks prior to the invasion. The Ukrainian Defence Minister estimated in December 2021 that an invasion could potentially force between three and five million people to flee their homes.[257]

Numbers and countries

Polish firefighter with a Ukrainian child in his arms
Polish volunteers assist refugees in Przemyśl train station
Refugees care for each other near Polish-border train station in Przemyśl

According to the UN High Commissioner for Refugees, more than a half-million Ukrainians fled the country in the first four days after the invasion;[258] about 281,000 went to Poland, almost 85,000 to Hungary, at least 36,390 to Moldova, more than 32,500 to Romania, 30,000 to Slovakia, and about 34,600 to various other countries.[258] Within the first week, a million refugees had fled from Ukraine;[259][260] they were predominantly women and children,[261][262][263] as men between the age of 18 and 60 were denied exit from Ukraine.[264]

Refugees at Przemyśl train station in Poland

On 24 February, the government of Latvia approved a contingency plan to receive and accommodate approximately 10,000 refugees from Ukraine,[265] and two days later the first refugees, assisted by the Latvian Samaritan Association, began arriving. Several non-governmental organisations, municipalities, schools, and institutions also pledged to provide accommodation.[266] On 27 February, around 20 volunteer professional drivers departed to Lublin with donated supplies, bringing Ukrainian refugees to Latvia on their way back.[267] To facilitate border crossings, Poland and Romania lifted COVID-19 entry rules.[268][269]

The government of Hungary announced that all persons crossing the border from Ukraine, those without a travel document, and arriving from third countries would also be admitted after appropriate screening.[270] Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said that Hungary is a "friendly place" for people arriving from Ukraine.[271] Many of the Ukrainians who fled to Hungary were Transcarpathian Hungarians; none of them requested any form of protection by 25 February.[272]

Most of Ukrainian refugees who crossed into Romania entered through Siret in Suceava County.[273] In the first three days after the invasion, 31,000 Ukrainians entered Romania, of which only 111 requested some form of protection. Many used the Romanian or Ukrainian passport they held, preferring not to seek asylum for the time being. ON 26 February, Romania's Interior Ministry approved the installation of the first mobile camp near the Siret customs.[274]

As a large group of refugees was expected in Bulgaria,[275] various municipalities announced their intention to provide accommodation for Bulgarians and Ukrainians fleeing the country, and began to modify and build housing for new arrivals.[276]

On 26 February, Slovakia announced that it would give money to people who supported Ukrainian refugees. The previous day, Slovakia had received over 10,000 refugees, mostly women and children.[277]

Allegations of discrimination and racism

At the end of February, it was reported that during the previous days the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine at the border posts near Medyka and Shehyni had not permitted a number of non-Ukrainians (many of them foreign students stuck in the country) to cross the border into neighbouring safe nations,[278] claiming that priority was being given to Ukrainian citizens to cross first. The Ukrainian Foreign Minister said there were no restrictions on foreign citizens leaving Ukraine, and that the border force had been told to allow all foreign citizens to leave.[279][280] According to Bal Kaur Sandhu, the general-secretary of Khalsa Aid, Indian students trying to leave Ukraine faced serious difficulties and discrimination when attempting to cross the border, were subjected to violence and "have quite verbally been told that your government is not supporting us, we are not supporting you".[281] Similar discrimination was reported by Africans trying to leave.[282][283]

International organisations

On 3 March 2022, EU ministers agreed to invoke the Temporary Protection Directive for the first time in history, so that refugees from Ukraine can stay in the EU for at least one year without applying for asylum.[284] Most countries of the Schengen Area, including Poland, Germany, and Switzerland, have waived passport requirements for Ukrainians fleeing the war zone.[285]

War crimes

The invasion of Ukraine was considered to have violated the Charter of the United Nations and constituted a crime of aggression according to international criminal law, raising the possibility that the crime of aggression could be prosecuted under universal jurisdiction.[286][287][288] The invasion also violated the Rome Statute, which prohibits "the invasion or attack by the armed forces of a State of the territory of another State, or any military occupation, however temporary, resulting from such invasion or attack, or any annexation by the use of force of the territory of another State or part thereof". Ukraine had not ratified the Rome Statute and Russia withdrew its signature from it in 2016.[289]

On 25 February, Amnesty International said that it had collected and analysed evidence showing that Russia had violated international humanitarian law, including attacks that could amount to war crimes; it also said that Russian claims to be only using precision-guided weapons were false.[290][291] Amnesty and Human Rights Watch said that Russian forces had carried out indiscriminate attacks on civilian areas and strikes on hospitals, including firing a 9M79 Tochka ballistic missile with a cluster munition warhead towards a hospital in Vuhledar, which killed four civilians and wounded ten others, including six healthcare staff.[292][293] Dmytro Zhyvytskyi, the governor of Sumy Oblast, said that at least six Ukrainians, including a seven-year-old girl, had died in a Russian attack on Okhtyrka on 26 February, and that a kindergarten and orphanage had been hit.[294]

On 27 February, Ukrainian foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba called for the International Criminal Court (ICC) to investigate the Okhtyrka kindergarten bombing.[294] The same day, Ukraine filed a lawsuit against Russia before the International Court of Justice, accusing Russia of violating the Genocide Convention by falsely claiming genocide as a pretext for military operations against Ukraine.[295] On 28 February, Karim Ahmad Khan, the chief prosecutor of the ICC, said there was a "reasonable basis" for allegations of war crimes and crimes against humanity following the ICC's preliminary examination of the case.[296] Thirty-nine states officially referred the situation in Ukraine to the ICC. On 3 March, Karim Khan announced that evidence was being collected of alleged war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide committed by individuals of all sides during the invasion and that a full investigation would be opened.[297]

On 28 February, a diplomatic crisis within Greece–Russia relations was sparked when the latter's air forces bombarded the two settlements of Buhas and Sartana, majority-populated by Ukrainian Greeks near Mariupol, killing 12 Greeks.[298] Greece protested strongly, summoning the Russian ambassador. French president Emmanuel Macron and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken,[299] along with Germany,[300] and other countries, expressed their condolences to Greece. Russian authorities denied responsibility, although Greek authorities stated that they had evidence of Russian involvement.[301] In response, Greek prime minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis announced that his country would send defensive military equipment and humanitarian aid to support Ukraine.[219][302] The same day, Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch denounced the use of cluster munitions and thermobaric weapons by Russian invasion forces in Ukraine. The use of cluster munitions in war is prohibited by the Convention on Cluster Munitions of 2008, though Russia and Ukraine are not part of this convention.[303] Both the Ukrainian and Russian governments have accused each other of using human shields.[304][305] On 1 March, President Zelenskyy said there was evidence that civilian areas had been targeted during a Russian artillery bombardment of Kharkiv earlier that day, and described it as a war crime.[296]

Ramifications

Sanctions

US president Joe Biden's statements and a short question and answer session on 24 February 2022

Western countries and others began imposing limited sanctions on Russia when it recognised the independence of Donbas. With the commencement of attacks on 24 February, large numbers of additional countries began applying sanctions with the aim of crippling the Russian economy. The sanctions were wide-ranging, targeting individuals, banks, businesses, monetary exchanges, bank transfers, exports, and imports.[306][307][308]

Faisal Islam of BBC News stated that the measures were far from normal sanctions and were "better seen as a form of economic war". The intent of the sanctions was to push Russia into a deep recession with the likelihood of bank runs and hyperinflation. Islam noted that targeting a G20 central bank in this way had never been done before.[309] Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of Russia and former president Dmitry Medvedev derided Western sanctions imposed on Russia, including personal sanctions, and commented that they were a sign of "political impotence" resulting from NATO's withdrawal from Afghanistan. He threatened to nationalise foreign assets that companies held inside Russia.[310]

Banking

In a 22 February speech,[311] US president Joe Biden announced restrictions against four Russian banks, including V.E.B., as well as on corrupt billionaires close to Putin.[312][313] UK prime minister Boris Johnson announced that all major Russian banks would have their assets frozen and be excluded from the UK financial system, and that some export licences to Russia would be suspended.[314] He also introduced a deposit limit for Russian citizens in UK bank accounts, and froze the assets of over 100 additional individuals and entities.[315]

Nord Stream, a natural gas pipeline, runs under the Baltic Sea, bypassing Ukraine. Germany imports 50% to 75% of its natural gas from Russia.[316] Nord Stream 2 would have doubled annual capacity of Nord Stream to 110 billion m3 (3.9 trillion cu ft).

The foreign ministers of the Baltic states called for Russia to be cut off from SWIFT, the global messaging network for international payments. Other EU member states had initially been reluctant to do this, both because European lenders held most of the nearly $30 billion in foreign banks' exposure to Russia and because China had developed an alternative to SWIFT called CIPS; a weaponisation of SWIFT would provide greater impetus to the development of CIPS which, in turn, could weaken SWIFT as well as the West's control over international finance.[317][318] Other leaders calling for Russia to be stopped from accessing SWIFT include Czech president Miloš Zeman,[319] and UK prime minister Boris Johnson.[320]

Germany had resisted calls for Russia to be banned from SWIFT, citing the effect it would have on payments for Russian gas and oil; on 26 February, the German foreign minister Annalena Baerbock and economy minister Robert Habeck made a joint statement backing targeted restrictions of Russia from SWIFT.[321][322] Shortly thereafter, it was announced that major Russian banks would be removed from SWIFT, although there would still be limited accessibility to ensure the continued ability to pay for gas shipments.[323] Furthermore, it was announced that the West would place sanctions on the Russian Central Bank, which holds $630bn in foreign reserves, to prevent it from liquidating assets to offset the impact of sanctions.[324]

On 26 February, two Chinese state banks—the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which is the largest bank in the world, and the Bank of China, which is the country's biggest currency trader—were limiting financing to purchase Russian raw materials, which was limiting Russian access to foreign currency.[325] On 28 February, Switzerland froze a number of Russian assets and joined EU sanctions. According to Ignazio Cassis, the president of the Swiss Confederation, the decision was unprecedented but consistent with Swiss neutrality.[326] The same day, Monaco adopted economic sanctions and procedures for freezing funds identical to those taken by most European states.[327] Singapore became the first Southeast Asian country to impose sanctions on Russia by restricting banks and transactions linked to Russia;[328] the move was described by the South China Morning Post as being "almost unprecedented".[329] South Korea announced it would participate in the SWIFT ban against Russia, as well as announcing an export ban on strategic materials covered by the "Big 4" treaties to which Korea belongs—the Nuclear Suppliers Group, the Wassenaar Arrangement, the Australia Group, and the Missile Technology Control Regime; in addition, 57 non-strategic materials, including semiconductors, IT equipment, sensors, lasers, maritime equipment, and aerospace equipment, were planned to be included in the export ban "soon".[330]

On 28 February, Japan announced that its central bank would join sanctions by limiting transactions with Russia's central bank, and would impose sanctions on Belarusian organisations and individuals, including president Aleksandr Lukashenko, because of its "evident involvement in the invasion" of Ukraine.[331] According to The Wall Street Journal, payments for energy raw materials have been largely spared from these measures.[332] The Central Bank of Russia was blocked from accessing more than $400 billion in foreign-exchange reserves held abroad.[333][334] Sergei Aleksashenko, the former Russian deputy finance minister, said: "This is a kind of financial nuclear bomb that is falling on Russia."[335] EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell said that Western nations "cannot block the reserves of the Russian central bank in Moscow or in China".[336]

On 1 March, the Grand and General Council of San Marino authorised the country's government to take sanctions against Russia, and rejected that the measures had a military content.[337] The same day, the French finance minister Bruno Le Maire said that Russian assets being frozen by sanctions amounted to $1 trillion.[338] Following sanctions and criticisms of their relations with Russian business, many companies chose to exit Russian or Belarussian markets voluntarily or in order to avoid potential future sanctions.[339] Visa, Mastercard, and American Express independently blocked Russian banks as of 2 March.[340] Following Swiss sanctions on Russia, Credit Suisse issued orders to destroy documents linking Russian oligarchs to yacht loans, a move which led to considerable criticism.[341]

Export

The US instituted export controls, a novel sanction focused on restricting Russian access to high-tech components, both hardware and software, made with any parts or intellectual property from the US. The sanction required that any person or company that wanted to sell technology, semiconductors, encryption software, lasers, or sensors to Russia request a licence, which by default was denied. The enforcement mechanism involved sanctions against the person or company, with the sanctions focused on the shipbuilding, aerospace, and defence industries.[342]

EU sanctions

On the morning of 24 February, Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, announced "massive" EU sanctions to be adopted by the union. The sanctions targeted technological transfers, Russian banks, and Russian assets.[343] Josep Borrell, the High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, stated that Russia would face "unprecedented isolation" as the EU would impose the "harshest package of sanctions [which the union has] ever implemented". He also said that "these are among the darkest hours of Europe since the Second World War".[344] President of the European Parliament Roberta Metsola called for "immediate, quick, solid and swift action" and convened an extraordinary session of Parliament for 1 March.[345][346] On 26 February, the French Navy intercepted Russian cargo ship Baltic Leader in the English Channel. The ship was suspected of belonging to a company targeted by the sanctions. The ship was escorted to the port of Boulogne-sur-Mer and was being investigated.[347]

Airspace

  Russia
  Ukraine
  Countries that have banned Russian aircraft from their airspace in response to the invasion
[needs update]

On 25 February, the UK banned the Russian airline and flag carrier Aeroflot as well as Russian private jets from UK airspace.[314] The same day, Poland, Bulgaria, and the Czech Republic announced that they would close their airspace to Russian airlines;[348][349] Estonia followed suit the next day.[350] In response, Russia banned British aeroplanes from its airspace. S7 Airlines, Russia's largest domestic carrier, announced that it was cancelling all flights to Europe,[349] and US carrier Delta Air Lines announced that it was suspending ties with Aeroflot.[351] Russia further banned from its airspace all flights from carriers in Bulgaria, Poland, and the Czech Republic.[352] Estonia, Romania, Lithuania, and Latvia announced they would also ban Russian airlines from their airspace.[353] Germany also banned Russian aircraft from its airspace.[354] On 27 February, the Portuguese Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that it had closed Portuguese airspace to Russian planes.[355] The same day, the EU announced that it would close its airspace to Russian aircraft.[242][356][357]

Nord Stream 2

German chancellor Olaf Scholz indefinitely blocked the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline in response to the Russian invasion of Donbas.[358] Nord Stream 2 has become insolvent as a result.[359]

Black Sea

On 28 February, Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced that Turkey would limit Russian access to the Black Sea.[360] On 2 March, the Russian frigate Admiral Kasatonov was denied access to the Black Sea.[361]

Foreign Companies

Apple stops selling iPhones and other products in Russia. Harley-Davidson Inc, General Motors Co, Volvo Car AB, and Volvo AB suspend all of their operations in Russia.[362]

Economic impact

Kristalina Georgieva, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, warned that the conflict posed a substantial economic risk for the region and internationally and added that the Fund could help other countries impacted by the conflict, complementary to a $2.2 billion loan package being prepared to assist Ukraine. David Malpass, the president of the World Bank Group, said that the conflict would have far-reaching economic and social effects and reported that the bank was preparing options for significant economic and fiscal support to Ukrainians and the region.[363]

Despite unprecedented international sanctions against Russia, payments for energy raw materials were largely spared from these measures, as were food supplies because of the potential impact on world food prices. Russia and Ukraine are major producers of wheat that is exported through the Bosporus to Mediterranean and North African countries.[332][364]

Russia

Volodymyr Zelenskyy meeting with Boris Johnson on 1 February 2022

In Russia, the economic sanctions had an immediate effect. The Russian stock market crashed, falling 39%, as measured by the RTS Index, on the first day of the invasion, with similar falls in the following days. The Russian ruble fell to record lows, as Russians rushed to exchange money.[365][366][367] Stock exchanges in Moscow and St Petersburg were suspended.[368][369][370] On 26 February, S&P Global Ratings downgraded the Russian government credit rating to "junk", potentially forcing funds that require investment-grade bonds to dump Russian debt.[371]

The Central Bank of Russia announced its first market interventions since the 2014 annexation of Crimea to stabilise the market. It also raised interest rates to 20% and banned foreigners from selling local securities.[372] According to a former deputy chairman of the Russian central bank, the sanctions put the Russian National Wealth Fund at risk of disappearing.[373] On 28 February, with the value of the Russian ruble and the share prices for Russian equities falling on major exchanges, Moscow's MOEX exchange was closed for the day.[374] As of 28 February, the price of Russia's credit default swaps signalled about a 56% chance of default.[375]

On 27 February, BP, one of the world's seven largest oil and gas companies and the single largest foreign investor in Russia, announced it was divesting from Rosneft.[376] The Rosneft interest comprises about half of BP's oil and gas reserves and a third of its production. The divestment may cost the company up to $25 billion and analysts noted that it was unlikely that BP would be able to recover anywhere near the value of Rosneft.[377] The same day, the Government Pension Fund of Norway, the world's largest sovereign wealth fund, announced that it would divest itself from its Russian assets. The fund owned about 25 billion Norwegian krone ($2.83 billion) in Russian company shares and government bonds.[378] The next day, Shell plc also announced that it would be pulling its investments in Russia.[379] On 1 March, the Italian energy company ENI announced that it would cancel its investments into the Blue Stream pipeline.[380] The same day, the world's largest shipping companies Maersk and Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) suspended all container shipments to Russia, excluding foodstuffs, medical, and humanitarian supplies.[381][382]

Ukraine

In Ukraine, the National Bank suspended currency markets, announcing that it would fix the official exchange rate. The central bank also limited cash withdrawals to 100,000 hryvnia per day and prohibited withdrawal in foreign currencies by members of the general public. The PFTS Stock Exchange stated on 24 February that trading was suspended due to the emergency events.[383]

Commodities

French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said that the EU "will bring about the collapse" of the economy of Russia.[384]

As a result of the invasion, Brent oil prices rose above $100 a barrel for the first time since 2014.[385] The invasion threatened the energy supply from Russia to Europe and could impact flows through pipelines such as Yamal-Europe, Nord Stream, and TurkStream,[386][387] causing European countries to seek to diversify their energy supply routes.[388]

Wheat prices surged to their highest prices since 2008 in response to the attack.[389] At the time of the invasion Ukraine was the fourth-largest exporter of corn and wheat and the world's largest exporter of sunflower oil, with Russia and Ukraine together exporting 29% of the world's wheat supply and 75% of world sunflower oil exports. The benchmark Chicago Board of Trade March wheat futures contract reached its highest price since 2012 on 25 February, with the prices of corn and soybean also spiking. The American Bakers Association president warned that the price of anything made with grain would begin rising as all the grain markets are interrelated.[390]

The chief agricultural economist for Wells Fargo stated that Ukraine would likely be severely limited in its ability to plant crops in spring 2022 and lose an agricultural year, while an embargo on Russian crops would create more inflation of food prices. Recovering crop production capabilities may take years, even after fighting has stopped.[390] Surging wheat prices resulting from the conflict have strained countries such as Egypt, which are highly dependent upon Russian and Ukrainian wheat exports, and have provoked fears of social unrest.[391] On 24 February, China announced that it would drop all restrictions on Russian wheat, in what the South China Morning Post called a potential "lifeline" for the Russian economy.[392]

Media depictions

Throughout the invasion, messages, videos and photos, and audio recordings were widely shared across social media and news sites and by friends and family of Ukrainian and Russian citizens. While many were authentic, first-hand images of the conflict, others were images and videos of past conflicts and events or were otherwise misleading. Some of these were created to spread disinformation or propaganda.[393][394][395]

Facebook allowed Ukrainian users to lock their pages after the US warned that Russia was creating kill lists of Ukrainians.[396] Twitter paused post recommendations for unfollowed accounts in Russia and Ukraine,[397][398] and temporarily halted the operations of its advertising platform within the two countries.[399][400] Google temporarily disabled traffic conditions on Google Maps to protect civilians and military operations in the conflict zone.[401]

Zelenskyy and his wife Olena have used social media to post statements, videos and photos in attempts to motivate both the Ukrainian citizens and the rest of the world against the invasion. Many have made videos and posts highlighting comments made by Zelenskyy to show support of his efforts and attempting to aid Ukrainians fighting against the invasion.[402][403]

Censorship and propaganda

The Russian censorship apparatus Roskomnadzor ordered the country's media to only employ information from Russian state sources or face fines and blocks, accusing a number of independent media outlets of spreading "unreliable socially significant untrue information" about the shelling of Ukrainian cities by the Russian army and civilian deaths.[404][405] The Russian government ordered media organisations to delete stories that describe the Russian invasion of Ukraine as an "assault", "invasion", or a "declaration of war".[406] Roskomnadzor launched an investigation against the Novaya Gazeta, Echo of Moscow, inoSMI, MediaZona, New Times, Dozhd (TV Rain), and other Russian media outlets for publishing "inaccurate information about the shelling of Ukrainian cities and civilian casualties in Ukraine as a result of the actions of the Russian Army".[407]

Russian state-controlled media, such as Russia-1 and Channel One, and pro-Kremlin TV pundits like Vladimir Solovyov mostly followed the government's narrative on the war.[408][409] RT, a Russian state-controlled television network, was banned in Poland and suspended by television service providers in Australia,[410] Canada,[411] and Gibraltar.[412][413] Many RT journalists resigned from RT following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.[414][415] On 25 February, the hacking collective Anonymous conducted DDoS attacks on the RT website,[416] as well as on the website of the Russian Ministry of Defence.[417][418]

On 25 February, Russia announced that it was limiting access to Facebook; Russia's Foreign Ministry and the Prosecutor General's office announced that Facebook violates the rights of citizens of the Russian Federation.[419] The company stated it had refused a Russian demand to stop fact-checking the posts made by four state-owned media organisations: Zvezda, RIA Novosti, Lenta.ru, and Gazeta.Ru.[420] On 26 February, Facebook announced that it would ban Russian state media from advertising and monetising content on its platform.[421] Russia restricted access to Twitter later that day.[422] Facebook uncovered a Russian disinformation campaign using fake accounts, and attempts to hack the accounts of high-profile Ukrainians, which could be used to spread misinformation to large numbers of followers.[423]

On 28 February, Russian teachers received detailed instructions on how to talk to students about the invasion of Ukraine.[424] The Mayakovsky Theatre in Moscow received a government email "to refrain from any comments on the course of military actions in Ukraine", warning that any negative comments would be "regarded as treason against the Motherland".[424]

On 1 March, YouTube announced that it would block Russian state-linked channels, including those of RT and Sputnik, across Europe, to prevent Russian disinformation.[425] The same day, Russia's Communication Regulator made demands for TikTok to stop including military-related content in recommended posts to minors, claiming much of the content was anti-Russian.[426] Russian authorities also blocked access to Echo of Moscow and Dozhd, Russia's last independent TV station,[427] claiming that they were spreading "deliberately false information about the actions of Russian military personnel" as well as "information calling for extremist activity" and "violence".[428] Additionally, Roskomnadzor threatened to block access to the Russian Wikipedia in Russia over the article "Вторжение России на Украину (2022)" ("Russia's invasion of Ukraine (2022)"), claiming that the article contains "illegally distributed information", including "reports about numerous casualties among service personnel of the Russian Federation and also the civilian population of Ukraine, including children".[429][430]

Reactions

International Organisations

OSCE

On 23 February, following the decision by Russian President Vladimir Putin to recognize parts of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine as independent, the 2022 Polish Chairmanship-in-Office convened the OSCE Permanent Council to meet in a reinforced format to address the situation at place. Polish minister, on behalf of the Polish Chairmanship underlined that the Russian president's decition reject Russia's commitment under the Minsk agreements and undermines "all OSCE efforts to settle the conflict in and around Ukraine, particularly within existing negotiation formats, in which the Trilateral Contact Group has a leading role”.[431] OSCE Secretary General of the OSCE, Helga Maria Schmid added that this makes the role of the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine "all the more crucial, while it continues to implement its mandate without interruption, providing impartial reporting on the situation on the ground."[431]

On 24 February OSCE Secretary General and the Chairmanship in the Office (Poland) represented by Polish Minister of Foreign Affairs Zbigniew Rau, issued a statement "on Russia’s launch of a military operation in Ukraine", in which they strongly condemn Russia’s military action against Ukraine and underlined that this "attack on Ukraine puts the lives of millions of people at grave risk and is a gross breach of international law and Russia’s commitments."[432] On the same day OSCE parliamentarians condemn Russian military action in Ukraine and called for de-escalation at Vienna Winter Meeting and an "the immediate cessation of all military activities.”[433] Polish OSCE Chairmanship convened a reinforced meeting of the Permanent Council at the ministerial level to address "Russia’s military operation in Ukraine".[434] Later that day, OSCE Secretary General issued a statement in which she informed that "Due to the ongoing fighting and deteriorated security situation in Ukraine", in coordination with the Chairman-in-Office, she has decided to "temporarily evacuate all international mission members from Ukraine as soon as possible."[435]

On 25 February, OSCE ODIHR Director Matteo Mecacci issued a statement in which ODIHR observed that the "OSCE is facing one of its most acute security crises since World War II, with the dangerous decision taken to resort to armed conflict in place of dialogue." ODIHR expressed its deep concerns about the "human impact of the military action initiated by the Russian Federation in Ukraine on everyone in the country, in particular civilians."[436] On 1 March OSCE ODIHR noted that "peaceful protests in Russia and Belarus have been answered by numerous arbitrary arrests and police intimidation, with riot police on some occasions outnumbering protesters" and reminded that the freedoms such as the rights to peaceful assembly and expression "lie at the heart of all democratic societies".[437]

OSCE Representative on Freedom of the Media issued statements calling for the ensuring of the safety of journalists in the conflict situations,[438] and denouncing the continued deterioration of the media freedom situation in the Russian Federation ("obstruction of free flow of information and safety of journalists").[439]

On 2 March, OSCE structures mourned Maryna Fenina, Ukrainian national, a national member of the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine who was killed on 1 March during the shelling of Kharkiv.[440] [441]

On 3 March, three Personal Representatives of the OSCE Chairmanship: rabbi Andrew Baker, dr Regina Polak and ambassador Mehmet Paçacı condemned the Russian missile attack on Babi Yar.[442]

United Nations

General Assembly Resolution ES-11/1 vote, condemning the invasion of Ukraine and demanding a complete withdrawal of Russian troops
  In favour
  Against
  Abstained
  Absent
  Non-member

On 23 February, UN Secretary-General António Guterres urged Russia to immediately end aggression in Ukraine ending his call with the words: "So, if indeed an operation is being prepared, I have only one thing to say from the bottom of my heart: President [Vladimir] Putin, stop your troops from attacking Ukraine.  Give peace a chance.  Too many people have already died."[443]

The French and US ambassadors announced that they would present a resolution to the UN Security Council on 25 February 2022.[186][444] The UK,[445] the US,[446] Canada,[447] and the EU labelled the attack as unprovoked and unjustified,[448] and promised harsh sanctions on Russian individuals, businesses, and assets.[449] On 25 February, Russia vetoed a Security Council draft resolution "deploring, in the strongest terms, the Russian Federation's aggression", as expected. Eleven countries voted in favour, and three abstained, among them China, India, and the United Arab Emirates.[450] On 27 February, the UN Security Council voted to hold an emergency special session of the UN General Assembly to vote on a similar resolution.[451] The eleventh ever special session was convened on 28 February, with speeches by members expected to last several days.[452] During a meeting of the UN Human Rights Council on 1 March, over 100 diplomats walked out in protest over a speech by Sergei Lavrov.[453][454][455]

UN High Comissioner for Human Rights Michelle Bachelet called for an immediate halt to the Russian Federation’s military action against Ukraine.[456] On 2 March, the United Nations General Assembly voted 141 to 5 to demand Russia stop the war and withdraw all of its military forces; China was among 35 countries that abstained, while Belarus, North Korea, Syria, and Eritrea were Russia's only supporters. Russia's UN representative said that the adoption of the resolution could fuel further violence.[457]

NATO

US F-35s arrive in Ämari Air Base in Estonia on 27 February.[458]

Following the dissolution of the Soviet Union, member states of NATO were without a common enemy. Subsequently, cohesion among member states declined, with many reducing their defence spending and drawing down their forces along the border with Russia. NATO had attempted to improve the situation by setting a defence spending target of 2% of GDP for each of its members; however, most member states had not met the target as of 2022. The invasion of Ukraine had an immediate effect on this situation with NATO states boosting their defence budgets and sending personnel and equipment to the border.[459]

Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia triggered NATO security consultations under Article 4.[460] The Estonian government issued a statement by Prime Minister Kaja Kallas saying: "Russia's widespread aggression is a threat to the entire world and to all NATO countries, and NATO consultations on strengthening the security of the Allies must be initiated to implement additional measures for ensuring the defence of NATO Allies. The most effective response to Russia's aggression is unity."[461] On 24 February, Stoltenberg announced new plans that "will enable us to deploy capabilities and forces, including the NATO Response Force, to where they are needed".[459] Following the invasion, NATO announced plans to increase military deployments[462] in the Baltics, Romania, and Poland.[463][464]

After the 25 February UN Security Council meeting, Stoltenberg announced that parts of the NATO Response Force would be deployed, for the first time ever, to NATO members along the Eastern border. He stated that forces would include elements of the Very High Readiness Joint Task Force (VJTF), currently led by France.[465] Stoltenberg further stated that some NATO members are supplying weapons to Ukraine, including those for air defence. The US had announced on 24 February that it would be deploying 7,000 troops to join the 5,000 already in Europe.[465] NATO forces include the USS Harry S. Truman's Carrier Strike Group 8, which entered the Mediterranean Sea the previous week as part of a planned exercise. The carrier strike group was placed under NATO command, the first time this had occurred since the Cold War.[466] On 27 February, German chancellor Olaf Scholz announced 100 billion euros (US$113 billion) in new military spending,[467] stating: "With the invasion of Ukraine, we are in a new era." Defense spending is set to rise to at least the target 2% of GDP expected of NATO members by 2024.[468]

During the Cold War, Finland and Sweden had remained neutral buffer states between NATO and the Soviet Union. To retain their neutral status, both states minimised their cooperation with NATO. Following the Fall of Communism, both states increased their cooperation with NATO, while stoutly retaining their neutral status.[469] Throughout the Cold War and the post-Communism era, majorities in both countries opposed joining NATO; however, with the increasing threat of Russia in the second decade of the 21st century, support for joining had begun to climb.[470] As Russia began to build forces on Ukraine's border in the leadup to their invasion, both countries increased their cooperation with NATO.[469] On 25 February, the Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova threatened Finland and Sweden with "military and political consequences" if they attempted to join NATO, despite their ongoing commitment to neutrality. Both countries had attended the emergency NATO summit as members of NATO's Partnership for Peace, and both had condemned the invasion and had provided assistance to Ukraine.[471] The previous day, Prime Minister Sanna Marin commented on Finland's potential membership after the invasion, saying: "It is also now clear that the debate on NATO membership in Finland will change." She added that a Finnish application to NATO would require widespread political and public support.[472] Shortly after the threat, a plane carrying Vyacheslav Volodin, the speaker of Russia's State Duma, was denied permission to cross both Swedish and Finnish airspace.[473] A public petition asking the Parliament of Finland to hold a referendum to join NATO reached the required 50,000 signatures, prompting a parliamentary discussion on 1 March. Finnish public opinion on joining NATO shifted after the invasion, with 53% in favour in the most recent poll compared to 30% in January.[474]

European Union

On 27 February, European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen announced that the EU would ban Russian state-owned media outlets RT and Sputnik in response to disinformation and their coverage of the conflict in Ukraine.[475] She also said that the EU would finance the purchase and delivery of military equipment to Ukraine and proposed a ban on Russian aircraft using EU airspace.[476]

On 28 February, President Zelenskyy asked to join the EU under a new fast track procedure. Photographs reported to be of Zelenskyy signing an application for membership were later shared.[477]

States' reactions

International reaction to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
  Countries that have condemned the invasion
  Countries that have maintained a neutral stance
  Countries that have blamed the invasion on NATO provocation
  Unknown

  Russia
  Ukraine
Ukrainian flag on the Polish Embassy in Sarajevo

The Czech Republic, Latvia, and Lithuania stopped issuing visas to Russian citizens.[478]

Following its military intervention in protests against the government earlier in January 2022, Russia requested that Kazakhstan send its troops to assist in the offensive, to which Kazakhstan refused, reiterating that it did not recognise the Donetsk and Luhansk separatists.[479] On 1 March, Kazakh president Kassym-Jomart Tokayev commented in regard to the outbreak of the war, saying that Kazakhstan's positions should be based on the "critical need to ensure the security, sovereignty and territorial integrity", calling on both Ukraine and Russia to find "a common language at the negotiating table", and reciting a Russian proverb that "a bad peace is better than a good quarrel".[480] Tokayev noted Kazakhstan's willingness in providing all possible forms of assistance, including mediation services.[480] During his attendance at the UN Human Rights Council session on 28 February, Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mukhtar Tleuberdi suggested for Nur-Sultan to host negotiations between Russian and Ukrainian officials, expressing his concern for civilian casualties.[481]

In a call with Putin, Xi Jinping said China supported efforts to resolve the dispute through dialogue; Putin stated he was open to holding high-level talks with Ukraine.[482] In a statement released on 25 February, China said that Ukraine's territory and sovereignty should be respected and urged talks between Ukraine and Russia as soon as possible.[483] Shortly after, Wang Yi, the Chinese foreign minister and state councillor, stated that China had a clear position respecting the territorial integrity and sovereignty of all countries, including Ukraine.[483] Indian prime minister Narendra Modi appealed for an immediate cessation of violence in Ukraine, though he refrained from taking a stand on the issue and did not condemn the Russian invasion.[484][485] India was reportedly preparing a mechanism to trade with Russia using rupees to avoid the impact of Western sanctions.[486]

Serbia was among the few European countries that opposed sanctions on Russia. Serbian president Aleksandar Vučić said that his country supported Ukraine's sovereignty but that he would look after Serbia's own interests.[487] Vučić also stated that he would condemn Russia's recognition of the independence of separatist regions in eastern Ukraine only if Zelenskyy condemned the 1999 NATO bombing of Yugoslavia on public television.[488] While there was no agreement on sanctions on Russia, Serbia nevertheless expressed regrets over the events, describing both Russia and Ukraine as friendly states and underlining full support for the territorial integrity of Ukraine.[489][490] His initial weak response was criticised by multiple commentators in the country and the region, while some local media outlets sided with Russia.[491][492] The Serbian organisation Women in Black organised anti-war demonstrations in Belgrade, and the Serbian Orthodox Church organised a collection of humanitarian aid.[493][494]

Taiwan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs released a statement on 25 February condemning Russia and announcing sanctions.[495] On 26 February, Vadim Krasnoselski, the president of the unrecognised state of Transnistria, affirmed that Transnistria, as a peaceful state, had no offensive plans, referencing Transnistria's large population of Ukrainians and how Ukrainian language is taught in its schools.[496] Also on 26 February, the Council of Europe suspended Russian participation in the Committee of Ministers and the Parliamentary Assembly. Council Secretary-General Marija Pejčinović Burić called the invasion a "flagrant violation" and stated: "This is a dark hour for Europe and everything it stands for."[497]

A Russian state poll, published on 28 February,[498] claimed that 68% of Russians support the war, 22% oppose it, and 10% found it difficult to answer. Some observers noted what they described as a "generational struggle" among Russians over perception of the war, with younger Russians generally opposed to the war and older Russians more likely to accept the narrative presented by state media.[499]

Religious leaders

Pope Francis expressed his "deepest sorrow" in a phone call to Zelenskyy, who thanked the Pope for his support.[500] The Ecumenical Patriarch, Bartholomew I, regarded as the primus inter pares (first among equals) in the Eastern Orthodox Church and spiritual leader of Orthodox Christians, called for an end to the war. Bartholomew called the war abominable and voiced solidarity and support with the Orthodox Church of Ukraine.[501] On 24 February, Patriarch Kirill of Moscow released a statement noting "the suffering of people", calling on all parties "to do everything possible to avoid civilian casualties" while asking the Moscow Patriarchate to pray for "the rapid restoration of peace". Metropolitan Onufriy, head of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of Moscow Patriarchate, said the war had no justification.[502] On the 27, Kirill made an adress after a Divine Liturgy which was seen as a theological justification of the Russian invasion, stating: "We must not let dark and hostile external forces laugh at us, we must do everything to maintain peace between our peoples and at the same time protect our common historical Fatherland from all outside actions that can destroy this unity" and "God forbid that the current political situation in fraternal Ukraine, which is close to us, should be aimed at ensuring that the evil forces that have always fought against the unity of Russia and the Russian Church gain the upper hand". He also stated: "May the Lord protect the Russian land. [Which is] [t]he land, which now includes Russia, and Ukraine, and Belarus, and other tribes and peoples. So that the Lord preserves the Russian land from external enemies, from internal discord, so that the unity of our Church is strengthened.”[503][504]

Entertainment and sporting organisations

The International Olympic Committee called upon international sporting federations to either move or cancel any sports events planned in Russia or Belarus.[505][506] It recommended that Belarusian and Russian nationals be allowed to compete only as neutral athletes or teams.[507] The Union Cycliste Internationale and the International Gymnastics Federation were among those to act accordingly.[508][509] The International Judo Federation suspended President Putin's status as "Honorary President and Ambassador of the International Judo Federation".[510] On 1 March, the International Skating Union, which governs figure skating worldwide, announced that skaters from both Russia and Belarus would be barred from all competitions effective immediately until further notice.[511]

UEFA, the governing body for European football, decided to relocate the Champions League final from Saint Petersburg to Saint-Denis, France, after a meeting of the body's executive committee.[512][513] The national football teams of Poland, the Czech Republic, and Sweden refused to play any matches with Russia.[514] On 28 February, FIFA, joined by UEFA, suspended Russian teams from playing international football, including in qualifiers for the 2022 World Cup.[515] The National Hockey League announced that it was suspending all Russian business relationships, pausing Russian language websites, and would not host future competitions in Russia. The International Ice Hockey Federation suspended all Russian and Belarusian national and club teams from its competitions and withdrew Russia's hosting rights for the 2023 IIHF World Junior Championship.[507] Finland-based Jokerit and Latvia-based Dinamo Riga announced separately that the two ice hockey teams would withdraw from Russia's top-tier Kontinental Hockey League.[516][517][518]

Formula One called off the 2022 Russian Grand Prix in the wake of the crisis, with world champions Sebastian Vettel and Max Verstappen calling it "wrong" to race in the country.[519][520] EA Sports announced a set of removals involving the Russian and Belarusian teams in both FIFA 22 and NHL 22 video games. The company also announced that it could also affect the development and the upcoming release of F1 2022, which is featuring the likeness of racer Nikita Mazepin and his sponsor Uralkali, as well as the name of the Russian Grand Prix.[521] The European Broadcasting Union excluded Russia from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest 2022, with the organisers saying that its inclusion could "bring the competition into disrepute".[522][523] Poland-based beauty contest Miss Supranational announced on social media that it would not accept a contestant from Russia because they "cannot condone the actions of the Kremlin".[524] Disney, Warner Bros, and Sony Pictures announced a pause on their theatrical releases in Russia, citing the humanitarian crisis in Ukraine.[525]

Protests

In Russia

Protesters in Moscow, 24 February 2022

Almost 2,000 Russians in 60 cities across Russia were detained by police on 24 February for protesting against the invasion, according to OVD-Info;[526] by 27 February, it reported that more than 5,900 protestors had been detained overall.[527] Russia's interior ministry justified these arrests due to the "coronavirus restrictions, including on public events" that continue to be in place.[528] Russian authorities warned Russians of legal repercussions for joining anti-war protests.[529] Nobel Peace Prize winner Dmitry Muratov announced that the Novaya Gazeta newspaper would publish its next edition in both Ukrainian and Russian. Muratov, journalist Mikhail Zygar, director Vladimir Mirzoyev, and others signed a document stating that Ukraine was not a threat to Russia and calling for Russian citizens to denounce the war.[530]

Elena Chernenko, a journalist at Kommersant, circulated a critical open letter signed by 170 journalists and academics.[531] Mikhail Fridman, a Russian oligarch, said that the war would "damage two nations who have been brothers for hundreds of years" and called for the "bloodshed to end".[532] Three Communist members of parliament, who had supported the resolution recognising the Donetsk and Luhansk people's republics believing it was a peacekeeping mission and not a full-scale invasion, were the sole members of the State Duma to speak out against the war.[533] State Duma deputy Mikhail Matveev voted in favour of the recognition of the Donetsk and Luhansk people's republics but later condemned the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[534] State Duma deputy Oleg Smolin said he was "shocked" by the invasion.[535]

More than 30,000 technology workers,[536] 6,000 medical workers, 3,400 architects,[535] more than 4,300 teachers,[424] more than 17,000 artists,[537] 5,000 scientists,[538] and 2,000 actors, directors, and other creative figures signed petitions calling for Putin's government to stop the war.[407][539] Russian human rights activist Lev Ponomaryov started a petition to protest the invasion, garnering more than 750,000 signatures by 26 February.[407] The founders of the Immortal Regiment commemoration movement, in which ordinary Russians annually march with photographs of veteran family members to mark World War II's Victory Day on 9 May, called on Putin to cease fire, describing the use of force as inhuman.[539]

On 3 March, the multinational company Lukoil, the second largest company in Russia after Gazprom, called for a ceasefire and diplomatic means to solve the conflict.[540]

Outside Russia

The Brandenburg Gate lit up in the colours of the Ukrainian flag during a solidarity protest in Berlin, Germany, 24 February 2022. The monument is visible from the nearby Russian Embassy.[541]

Protests in support of Ukraine were worldwide.[e] In the Czech Republic, some 80,000 people protested in Wenceslas Square in Prague.[587] On 27 February, more than 100,000 gathered in Berlin to protest against Russia's invasion.[588] During a constitutional referendum vote, Belarusian protestors in Minsk chanted "No to War" at polling stations.[589] On 28 February, instead of the traditional Cologne Carnival parade Cologne Rose Monday procession [de], which had been cancelled due to COVID-19 a few days earlier,[590][591] more than 250,000, instead of the anticipated 30,000, gathered in Cologne in a peace march to protest against the Russian invasion.[592]

A boycott movement against Russian and Belarusian products spread rapidly. In Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia most supermarkets removed Russian and Belarusian products, such as food, drinks, magazines, and newspapers.[593][594][595] In Canada, the liquor control boards of several provinces were ordered to remove Russian-made alcohol from the shelves.[596][597] In the US, some states placed legal restrictions on the sale of Russian liquor, and many bars, restaurants, and liquor retailers removed Russian brands from sale voluntarily, with some supporting Ukrainian liquors in a further show of solidarity with Ukraine.[598][599] Following protests, both the Finnish and Swedish alcohol monopolies stopped the sale of Russian alcoholic beverages.[600] In addition, Finland's two main retailers removed Russian goods from their shelves.[601]

See also

Explanatory notes

  1. ^ a b The Donetsk People's Republic and the Luhansk People's Republic are separatist states that declared their independence in May 2014, while receiving recognitions from each other, the de facto state of South Ossetia, and Russia (since 2022).[1][2][3]
  2. ^ Russian forces were permitted to stage part of the invasion from Belarusian territory.[5] Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko also stated that Belarusian troops could take part in the invasion if needed,[6] and Belarusian territory was used to launch missiles into Ukraine.[7] Ukrainian officials have claimed that Belarusian troops have entered Ukraine.[8] See also: Belarusian involvement in the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
  3. ^ Twelve Greek citizens killed,[36] four Azerbaijani citizens killed,[37] one Iraqi citizen killed,[38] one Algerian citizen killed,[39] one Israeli citizen killed,[40] one Indian citizen killed[41] and one Bangladeshi citizen killed[42]
  4. ^ Russia has avoided naming it as an invasion, and Roskomnadzor has instead told media agencies to describe the war as a "special military operation".[43] (Russian: специальная военная операция, romanizedspetsial'naya voyennaya operatsiya[44])
  5. ^ Argentina,[542] Armenia,[543] Australia,[544] Azerbaijan,[545] Belarus,[546] Belgium,[547] Bosnia and Herzegovina,[548] Brazil,[549] Bulgaria,[550] Canada,[551] Chile,[552] Colombia,[553] Croatia,[554] Denmark,[555] Estonia,[556] France,[557] Georgia,[558] Germany,[559] Greece,[560] Hungary,[561] Iceland,[562] Iran,[563][564] Ireland,[565] Israel,[566][567] Italy,[568] Japan,[569] Kazakhstan,[570] Malaysia,[571] Mexico,[542] Moldova,[572] Montenegro,[573] the Netherlands,[574] Norway,[575] Peru,[542] Portugal,[576] Romania,[577] Slovakia,[578] Slovenia,[579] Spain,[580] Sweden,[581] Switzerland,[582] Taiwan,[583] Turkey,[584] the UK,[585] and the US.[586]

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External links