2022 Ontario general election

2022 Ontario general election

On or before June 2, 2022 (2022-06-02)
124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Doug Ford Andrea Horwath Steven Del Duca Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal Leader since March 10, 2018 March 7, 2009 March 7, 2020 Leader's seat Etobicoke North Hamilton Centre Running in Vaughan—Woodbridge Last election 76 seats, 40.50% 40 seats, 33.56% 7 seats, 19.59% Current seats 67 38 7 Seats needed 25 56   Leader Mike Schreiner Jim Karahalios Derek Sloan Party Green New Blue Ontario Party Leader since May 16, 2009 November 8, 2020 December 16, 2021 Leader's seat Guelph Running in Kitchener—Conestoga Running in Hastings—Lennox and Addington Last election 1 seat, 4.60% pre-creation 0 seats, 0.04% Current seats 1 1 1 Seats needed 62 62 62
Incumbent Premier Doug Ford Progressive Conservative

The 2022 Ontario general election will be held on or before June 2, 2022, to elect Members of the Provincial Parliament to serve in the 43rd Parliament of Ontario. As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election. The Legislative Assembly of Ontario can be dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario on a motion of no confidence or if the Premier triggers a snap election. Since the current government has a majority, it is a near-certainty that any non-confidence vote would not pass. In terms of an unexpected snap election, on October 5, 2020, Ontario MPPs voted unanimously in favour of a motion stating that the government will not call an election prior to the fixed election date in 2022.

Standings

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario

Party		Party leader	Seats
			2018	Current
	Progressive Conservative (PC)	Doug Ford	76	67
	New Democratic (NDP)	Andrea Horwath	40	38
	Liberal (LIB)	Steven Del Duca	7	7
	Green (GRN)	Mike Schreiner	1	1
	New Blue (NBP)	Jim Karahalios	0	1
	Ontario Party (ONP)	Derek Sloan	0	1
	Independent			5
Vacant				3
Total			124	124

Note that for purposes of the administration of the Assembly, parties with fewer than 12 seats are not recognized, and their members are treated as independent MPPs.

Timeline

2018

• June 7: The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC) under Doug Ford wins a majority government in the 42nd Ontario general election, with Andrea Horwath's New Democrats (NDP) forming the Official Opposition. After leading the party to the worst result in its history, outgoing Premier Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party, but remains MPP for Don Valley West.
• June 14: Ottawa South MPP John Fraser is named interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.
• June 29: Progressive Conservative leader Doug Ford is sworn in as the 26th Premier of Ontario.
• July 11: Wellington—Halton Hills MPP Ted Arnott, a Progressive Conservative, is elected Speaker by secret ballot.
• November 2: Former interim Progressive Conservative leader Jim Wilson resigns as Minister of Economic Development, Job Creation and Trade and from the Progressive Conservative caucus due to allegations of sexual misconduct.
• November 29: Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Progressive Conservative MPP Amanda Simard leaves the Progressive Conservative caucus after Premier Ford had eliminated the province's French-language services commissioner and cancelled plans for a new French-language university.

2019

• February 21: Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston Progressive Conservative MPP Randy Hillier is suspended from the caucus indefinitely for allegedly making disrespectful comments to parents of children with autism. Hillier was officially expelled from the PC caucus on March 15, a day after he released a statement via Twitter suggesting his suspension was due to tensions between himself and the premier's senior advisors.
• July 31: Ottawa—Vanier Liberal MPP Nathalie Des Rosiers resigns her seat to become principal of Massey College.
• September 20: Orléans Liberal MPP Marie-France Lalonde resigns her seat in the provincial legislature to run as the Liberal candidate in Orléans for the 2019 federal election.

2020

• January 16: Glengarry—Prescott—Russell independent MPP Amanda Simard crosses the floor to join the Liberal caucus.
• February 27: Liberals Stephen Blais and Lucille Collard win byelections in the ridings of Orléans and Ottawa—Vanier, respectively.
• March 7: Former Vaughan MPP and cabinet minister Steven Del Duca is elected leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.
• July 21: Cambridge MPP Belinda Karahalios is ejected from the Progressive Conservative caucus for voting against the government's bill, Bill 195, making her an independent MPP.
• October 5: MPP's vote unanimously in favour of a motion introduced by MPP Mitzie Hunter stating that the government will not call an election prior to the fixed election date in 2022.

2021

• January 15: York Centre MPP Roman Baber is ejected from the Progressive Conservative caucus for his opposition to the provinces lockdown and restrictions during the COVID-19 pandemic in Ontario, making him an independent MPP.
• January 18: Cambridge MPP Belinda Karahalios, forms the New Blue Party of Ontario caucus in the Legislative Assembly.
• August 17: Don Valley East MPP Michael Coteau resigns his seat in the provincial legislature to run as the Liberal candidate in Don Valley East for the 2021 federal election.
• August 19: Chatham-Kent—Leamington MPP Rick Nicholls is ejected from the Progressive Conservative caucus after refusing to receive the COVID-19 vaccine. Premier Ford had previously given all PC caucus members a 5pm deadline to provide proof of vaccination or a statement of medical exemption signed by a physician or registered nurse.
• October 22: Durham MPP Lindsey Park resigns from the Progressive Conservative caucus and will not seek re-election. On October 1, 2021, Park had been removed from her role as parliamentary assistant to the attorney general after misrepresenting her COVID-19 vaccination status. Park said the statement "misrepresented her vaccination status."
• November 8: Randy Hillier announces that he will run under the banner of the People's Party of Canada's Ontario wing, then known as the Ontario First Party.
• December 14: Former Member of Parliament for Hastings—Lennox and Addington, Derek Sloan, announces that he will lead the Ontario Party in the upcoming election.
• December 22: Chatham-Kent—Leamington MPP Rick Nicholls joined the Ontario Party to become its first sitting member in the Legislative Assembly.

2022

• January 7: Elgin—Middlesex—London MPP Jeff Yurek announces he will resign his seat by the end of February and will not seek re-election.
• January 14: Ajax MPP Rod Phillips announces he will resign his seat in February and will not seek re-election.
• March 17: Hamilton East—Stoney Creek MPP Paul Miller is ejected from the NDP caucus by Leader Andrea Horwath, who cited the discovery of "clearly unacceptable" information.
• April 8: Brampton North MPP Kevin Yarde loses the NDP nomination for his riding, Yarde later announced he would leave the NDP caucus to sit as an independent.

Campaign period

Party slogans

Party	English	French	Translation of French (unofficial)
█ PC	"Get It Done."
█ New Democratic (NDP)	”Strong. Ready. Working for you.”
█ Liberal
█ Green	"The Ontario You Want. The Leadership We Need."
█ New Blue	"Strength. Stability. Liberty. Good government."
█ Ontario Party	”Freedom, Family and Faith”
█ Libertarian	”Freedom of Choice”

Issues

2022 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms

Issue	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	New Blue	Ontario Party
Business Subsidies		Subsidize black entrepreneurs Subsidize 2SLGBTQIA+ entrepreneurs Create a small business recovery grant Lift the cap on the Risk Management Program Provide a loan guarantee to young farmers Provide another round of Tourism Recovery Program payments Fund art projects dedicated to diversity, equity and inclusion Restore the Indigenous Culture Fund	Guarantee loans to small businesses		Eliminate the Toronto Star's online gambling license
COVID-19		Reinstate COVID-19 vaccine passports Reinstate COVID-19 mask mandates	Reinstate COVID-19 mask mandates		Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses	Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
Education	Hire teachers based on merit, not seniority Incorporate more financial literacy education into the mathematics curriculum	Create an indigenous curriculum Prioritize Ontario based authors and publishers in schools Hire 20,000 more teachers Reduce Grade 4 to Grade 8 class sizes to 24 Reduce kindergarten class sizes to 26 Fully de-stream education Eliminate EQAO testing Convert all OSAP loans to grants	Hire 5,000 more special education workers Reduce class sizes to twenty		Create a school voucher program Remove Critical Race Theory from the curriculum Remove Gender Identity Theory from the curriculum	Create a school voucher program Remove Critical Race Theory from the curriculum Remove Gender Identity Theory from the curriculum Allow the creation of charter schools Make it illegal for teachers to promote partisan political positions in the classroom Allow parents to opt their children out of certain school lessons Require universities to maintain free speech on campus Require universities to hire ideologically diverse educators Lower tuition fees for degrees with high labour market demand
Elections		Reduce annual political donation limits to $1600 Ban protests that incite racist, homophobic, transphobic or xenophobic hate Replace the electoral system with Mixed Member Proportional			Eliminate subsidies to political parties
Energy and Environment		Support hydro, wind and solar electricity generation Ban the sale of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035 Create a $10,000 tax credit for the purchase of electric vehicles Ban the conversion of any agricultural land into development Expand the Greenbelt Plant one billion trees by 2030 Ban non-medical single-use plastics by 2024	Create a $8,000 tax credit for the purchase or lease of electric vehicles and $1,500 for respective charging equipment Create five new provincial parks	Eliminate gas-powered power plants	End the use of wind-powered electricity
Healthcare	Build 30,000 new long-term care beds Provide publically funded prescriptions to low-income seniors Provide publically funded dental care to low-income seniors	Provide publically funded prescriptions to all residents Provide publically funded dental care to all residents Eliminate all user fees in healthcare Collect race-based data on health care Hire 22,000 more nurses Eliminate Bill 124 Hire 10,000 more PSWs Hire 300 more physicians in Northern Ontario Build 30,000 mental health supportive housing spaces over ten years Build 50,000 long-term care beds over eight years Give the Chief Medical Officer of Health the authority to override government decisions Stop mergers of public health units Provide $400 per month to informal caregivers Ban and close privately owned long-term care homes Publically fund contraception	Repeal Bill 124	Create a dedicated crisis response line for mental health Create a Ministry of Mental Health and Addictions Build 60,000 mental health supportive housing spaces Cover mental health therapy through public funding		Do not fire healthcare workers who refuse to participate in abortion or assisted-suicide End the prohibition on private health facilities and insurance Prohibit sex-change surgeries for minors Require parental consent for medical treatment for children
Housing	Use MZOs to approve the construction of more housing supply	End exclusionary zoning Implement rent control Subsidize rent for low-income households Build 100,000 unites of social housing over ten years	Ban the use of MZOs	Fund the construction of 100,000 affordable housing units
Law Enforcement		Expand supervised drug consumption sites Ban carding	Hire more police officers from underrepresented demographics	Expand supervised drug consumption sites
Regulation	Abolish the Ontario College of Trades Approve the construction of oil and gas pipelines	Ban individuals with firearm licenses from owning handguns Raise the minimum wage to $20/h Implement price controls on gasoline Require automobile insurance businesses to charge the same premiums in all regions of Ontario Provide ten publically funded sick days for all workers Ban the issuing of payday loans Require the hiring of more women and racial minorities Implement UNDRIP Require mandatory anti-oppression and anti-bias training for all public employees and politicians Subject all government programs and regulations to a gender-based analysis	Ban individuals with firearm licenses from owning handguns Raise the minimum wage to $16/h Mandate a four day work week Provide ten publically funded sick days for all workers Limit credit card and delivery fees paid by small businesses		Prohibit lobbyists from being involved in political parties Prohibit fraud in internal political party votes	Reduce immigration levels to match housing supply levels Prohibit foreigners from buying houses Repeal Bill 163
Social assistance		Increase OW payments by 20% Increase ODSP payments by 20% Conduct a basic income pilot project
Taxation (Business)		Raise business taxes by an unspecified amount Create a cap-and-trade system Create a filming tax-credit Provide all mining tax revenue to northern Indigenous communities	Elimination incorporation fees		Reduce the Harmonized Sales Tax from 13% to 10% Reduce taxes on gasoline
Taxation (Individual)	Remove license plate sticker requirements and their respective fees	Raise taxes on upper income workers by an unspecified amount Create a tax on housing speculation Create a filming tax-credit	Create a $75 tax credit for each winter tire installed	Create a tax on housing speculation
Transportation	Restore passenger rail service to Northern Ontario Build Ontario Highway 413 Build the Bradford Bypass highway Widen highway 401 to ten lanes between Hespeler Road and Townline Road Raise the speed limit to 110 km/h on all 400-series highways Remove tolls on highway 412 and highway 418 Build the Ontario Line Subway, Scarborough Subway Extension, Yonge North Subway Extension and Eglinton Crosstown West Extention	Restore passenger rail service to Northern Ontario Cancel the construction of highway 413 Fund 50% of municipal transit costs Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Kitchener-Waterloo Extend the Hurontario LRT to downtown Brampton	Make public transit publically funded for veterans Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Milton Cancel the construction of highway 413
Unions		Allow any workplace to unionize when 55% of workers endorse unionization Allow contractors to unionize Ban strikebreakers Allow students to unionize

Endorsements

Endorsements received by each party

Type	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	New Blue	Ontario Party	No endorsement
Media
Politicians and public figures		Jagmeet Singh				Roger Stone
Unions and business associations		United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW) United Steelworkers (USW)

Candidates

Main article: Candidates of the 2022 Ontario general election

Incumbents not running for reelection

Electoral district	Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee			New MPP
Don Valley West		Kathleen Wynne	Stephanie Bowman
Simcoe—Grey		Jim Wilson	–
Thornhill		Gila Martow	Laura Smith
Windsor—Tecumseh		Percy Hatfield	Gemma Grey-Hall
Kitchener South—Hespeler		Amy Fee	Jess Dixon
Durham		Lindsey Park	–
Perth—Wellington		Randy Pettapiece	Matthew Rae
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		Jim McDonell	Nolan Quinn
Parry Sound—Muskoka		Norm Miller	Graydon Smith
Essex		Taras Natyshak	Ron LeClair
Kingston and the Islands		Ian Arthur	Mary Rita Holland
Scarborough Centre		Christina Mitas	Dave Smith
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		Bill Walker	Rick Byers
Burlington		Jane McKenna	Natalie Pierre
Hastings—Lennox and Addington		Daryl Kramp	Ric Bresee
Newmarket—Aurora		Christine Elliott	Dawn Gallagher Murphy
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston		Randy Hillier	–
Beaches—East York		Rima Berns-McGown	Kate Dupuis
York Centre		Roman Baber	–
Toronto Centre		Suze Morrison	Kristyn Wong-Tam
Haldimand—Norfolk		Toby Barrett	Ken Hewitt
Thunder Bay—Superior North		Michael Gravelle

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Source	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	NBP	Other	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling type	Lead
Abacus Data	April 19, 2022		36	23	32	6	—	4	±2.1%	1500	Online	4
Ipsos	April 14, 2022		35	23	32	5	—	5	±3.5%	1001	Online	3
Mainstreet Research	March 31, 2022		36	22	31	4	—	7	±2.8%	1252	IVR	5
Leger	March 28, 2022		39	24	25	5	5	3	±3%	1,001	Online	14
Angus Reid	March 15, 2022		37	29	25	4	—	5	±3%	1,063	Online	8
Ipsos	March 15, 2022		38	24	28	4	—	5	±3.8%	850	Online	10
Mainstreet Research	March 13, 2022		33.9	25.7	27.8	5	—	7.6	±3%	1026	IVR	6.1
Leger	February 27, 2022		39	27	27	3	2	2	±3.1%	1,001	Online	12
Mainstreet Research	January 25, 2022		34.6	22.4	27.3	3.5	—	12.3	±3%	882	IVR	7.3
Leger	January 24, 2022		37	25	26	7	3	5	±3.1%	1,000	Online	11
Counsel	January 23, 2022		34.9	30.5	24.2	4.4	—	6	±2.1%	2,273	Online	4.4
EKOS	January 17, 2022		34.8	26.6	26.3	4.9	—	7.5	±3.5%	844	IVR	8.2
Abacus Data	January 12, 2022		37	25	28	5	—	2.5	±3.1%	1,210	Online	9
Angus Reid	January 12, 2022		33	36	19	4	—	8	N/A	909	Online	3
Innovative Research Group	January 11, 2022		35	22	36	5	—	2	N/A	428	Online	1
Mainstreet Research	January 7, 2022		30.6	27.0	27.9	5.5	—	9.0	±2.7%	1,246	IVR	2.7
Leger	December 13, 2021		38	28	25	5	2	3	±3.1%	1,000	Online	10
EKOS	November 25, 2021		32.8	23.1	28.3	5.2	—	10.5	±4.1%	569	IVR	4.5
Innovative Research Group	November 17, 2021		34.8	27	32.6	3.4	—	2.2	N/A	1000	Online	2.2
Leger	November 14, 2021		34	26	31	6	2	1	±3.1%	1,001	Online	3
Leger	October 10, 2021		35	25	30	5	—	5	±3.1%	1,003	Online	5
Angus Reid	October 3, 2021		34	32	25	4	—	5	N/A	910	Online	2
Angus Reid	June 7, 2021		37	33	22	6	—	3	±2%	791	Online	4
Leger	May 23, 2021		34	25	26	9	—	—	±3.1%	1,001	Online	8
Mainstreet Research	May 16, 2021		32.7	28.2	26.9	6.3	—	5.9	±3%	958	IVR	4.5
Campaign Research	May 8, 2021		36	25	28	7	—	4	±2%	2,009	Online	8
Innovative Research Group	May 4, 2021		32	22	36	8	—	2	N/A	481	Online	4
Abacus Data	April 21, 2021		34	23	35	5	—	2	±3.1%	1,007	Online	1
Innovative Research Group	April 20, 2021		30	26	35	8	—	1	N/A	800	Online	5
Abacus Data	April 14, 2021		34	23	34	5	—	4	±3.5%	817	Online	0
Innovative Research Group	April 13, 2021		32	24	33	8	—	2	N/A	704	Online	1
EKOS	April 12, 2021		34.6	23.5	29.9	8.9	—	3	±2.8%	1204	IVR	4.7
Campaign Research	April 6, 2021		41	22	24	10	—	2	±2.3%	1,886	Online	17
Leger	March 22, 2021		38	28	23	8	—	3	±3.1%	1,002	Online	10
Campaign Research	March 11, 2021		43	25	20	9	—	3	±2.7%	1,344	Online	18
Mainstreet Research	February 16, 2021		43	22	25	6	—	4	±3.08%	1,011	IVR	18
Campaign Research	January 31, 2021		44	25	21	8	—	3	±2.6%	1,427	Online	19
Abacus Data	January 12, 2021		34	25	29	8	—	3	±3.48%	793	Online	5
Mainstreet Research	December 5, 2020		46.2	23.4	19.9	6.2	—	4.3	±2.94%	1,014	IVR	22.8
Campaign Research	December 3, 2020		45	20	24	8	—	5	±3%	1,001	Online	21
Angus Reid	November 30, 2020		42	28	22	5	—	3	N/A	1,049	Online	14
Campaign Research	November 2, 2020		48	21	23	7	—	1	±3%	1,118	Online	25
Abacus Data	October 30, 2020		36	25	29	7	—	3	±3.1%	1,000	Online	7
October 12, 2020	Jim Karahalios forms the New Blue Party
Abacus Data	October 12, 2020		36	29	26	6	—	2	±3.1%	1,000	Online	7
Campaign Research	October 2, 2020		46	24	20	9	—	2	±3%	1,017	Online	22
Campaign Research	September 3, 2020		48	22	24	6	—	2	±3%	1,129	Online	24
Angus Reid	September 1, 2020		45	28	22	4	—	1	±3%	1,026	Online	17
Campaign Research	August 13, 2020		41	23	26	8	—	3	±2%	2,013	Online	15
Innovative Research Group	July 20, 2020		36	18	37	8	—	1	N/A	974	Online	1
Campaign Research	July 10, 2020		45	20	27	7	—	1	±3%	1,395	Online	18
Innovative Research Group	June 23, 2020		31	21	39	9	—	1	N/A	838	Online	8
Mainstreet Research	June 7, 2020		41.8	23.0	27.7	5.5	—	2.0	±3%	1,068	IVR	14.1
Campaign Research	June 2, 2020		44	22	27	6	—	2	±2.5%	1,512	Online	17
Innovative Research Group	June 1, 2020		33	20	38	9	—	0	N/A	698	Online	5
Angus Reid	May 24, 2020		43	26	25	6	—	1	N/A	1,061	Online	17
Abacus Data	May 22, 2020		36	19	38	5	—	2	±4.1%	597	Online	2
Innovative Research Group	May 5, 2020		34	18	39	7	—	1	N/A	791	Online	5
EKOS	March 26, 2020		31.5	17.9	40.4	7.1	—	3.1	±3.5%	774	IVR	8.9
Mainstreet Research	March 20, 2020		33.1	23.2	33.0	6.9	—	3.8	±2.73%	1,017	IVR	0.1
7 March 2020	Steven Del Duca is elected as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Campaign Research	March 5, 2020		32	28	28	10	—	2	±2.9%	1,144	Online	4
Angus Reid	February 28, 2020		36	31	24	8	—	1	±3.0%	1,051	Online	5
Campaign Research	February 26, 2020		32	28	29	9	—	3	±3.1%	1,003	Online	3
Campaign Research	February 9, 2020		30	26	30	11	—	3	±2.5%	1,536	Online	0
EKOS	January 19, 2020		31.1	21.2	36.2	9.1	—	2.3	±3.9%	634	IVR	5.1
Pollara	January 11, 2020		29	27	33	9	—	2	±2.1%	2,198	Online	4
EKOS	December 10, 2019		29.9	24.4	32.4	9.4	—	3.9	±3.4%	811	IVR	2.5
Campaign Research	September 9, 2019		32	27	28	11	—	2	±3.17%	957	Online	4
Corbett Communications	August 16, 2019		30	28	30	11	—	2	±3.0%	1,099	Online	0
Corbett Communications	July 10, 2019		28	26	28	15	—	3	±3.0%	936	Online	0
Corbett Communications	June 6, 2019		32	27	26	13	—	1	±3.0%	1,555	Online	5
Mainstreet Research	May 22, 2019		22.4	24.2	39.9	11.7	—	1.8	±3.1%	996	IVR	15.7
Ipsos	May 21, 2019		30	29	32	—	—	10	±3.5%	1,000	Online	2
Corbett Communications	May 3, 2019		35	25	27	12	—	1	±2.4%	1,836	Online	8
Pollara	May 1, 2019		30	31	26	11	—	1	±2.5%	1,527	Online	1
Mainstreet Research	March 22, 2019		34.4	26.6	26.0	9.4	—	3.6	±2.73%	1,290	IVR	7.8
Innovative Research Group	January 24, 2019		33	23	36	7	—	1		751	Online	3
Mainstreet Research	January 17, 2019		41.4	27.0	22.6	7.0	—	2.2	±2.92%	1,127	IVR	14.4
EKOS	December 3, 2018		34.3	26.1	28.0	9.4	—	2.3	±3.1%	1,025	IVR	6.3
Campaign Research	November 9, 2018		34	25	32	7	—	2	±2.3%	1,830	Online	2
Mainstreet Research	November 7, 2018		42.2	26.5	21.3	6.4	—	3.5	±2.79%	1,229	IVR	15.7
Innovative Research Group	October 28, 2018		35	25	32	7	—	1		1,628	Online	3
Abacus Data	October 1, 2018		36	29	24	8	—	3		1,500	Online	7
Mainstreet Research	July 17, 2018		41.7	27.8	21.3	6.7	—	2.5	±2.27%	1,861	IVR	13.9
29 June 2018	Doug Ford is sworn in as Premier of Ontario
Innovative Research Group	June 21, 2018		37	36	19	7	—	2	±4.0%	607	Telephone	1
14 June 2018	John Fraser becomes interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
7 June 2018	Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
2018 election	June 7, 2018	N/A	40.50	33.56	19.59	4.60	—	1.74	N/A	5,744,860	N/A	6.94
Polling firm	Last date of polling	Source							Margin of error	Sample size	Polling type	Lead
			PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	NBP	Other

Notes

Target seats

Below are listed all the electoral districts in which the winning candidate won by a margin of less than 5%. The Green Party's most marginal opportunity was in Parry Sound—Muskoka where the party finished third with the PCs having a 28.05% margin over them.

PC targets

Rank	Electoral District	Winning party 2018		2018 Margin	PC's place 2018	Result
1	Scarborough—Guildwood		Liberal	0.21%	2nd
2	Brampton Centre		New Democratic	0.26%	2nd
3	Don Valley West		Liberal	0.40%	2nd
4	Brampton North		New Democratic	1.25%	2nd
5	Don Valley East		Liberal	2.84%	2nd
6	St. Catharines		New Democratic	3.02%	2nd
7	York South—Weston		New Democratic	3.12%	2nd
8	Oshawa		New Democratic	3.15%	2nd
9	Orléans		Liberal	3.85%	2nd
10	Essex		New Democratic	4.97%	2nd

NDP targets

Rank	Electoral District	Winning party 2018		2018 Margin	NDP in 2018	Result
1	Ottawa West—Nepean		PC	0.35%	2nd
2	Brantford—Brant		PC	1.09%	2nd
3	Sault Ste. Marie		PC	1.289%	2nd
4	Brampton West		PC	1.291%	2nd
5	Kitchener—Conestoga		PC	1.60%	2nd
6	Kitchener South—Hespeler		PC	1.81%	2nd
7	Scarborough—Rouge Park		PC	2.29%	2nd
8	Thunder Bay—Superior North		Liberal	2.71%	2nd
9	Peterborough—Kawartha		PC	3.92%	2nd
10	Cambridge		PC	4.48%	2nd

Liberal targets

Rank	Electoral District	Winning party 2018		2018 margin	Liberal's place 2018	Result
1	Thunder Bay—Atikokan		New Democratic	0.25%	2nd
2	Eglinton—Lawrence		PC	1.93%	2nd
3	Toronto—St. Paul's		New Democratic	2.57%	2nd
4	Ottawa West—Nepean		PC	3.52%	3rd

External links

• Elections Ontario